مولانا محمد منظور نعمانی
گزشتہ مہینے کا معارف اشاعت کے مرحلے میں تھا کہ یہ افسوسناک خبر ملی کہ مولانا محمد منظور نعمانی ۴، ۵؍ مئی کی درمیانی شب میں انتقال فرماگئے۔ انا ﷲ وانا الیہ راجعون۔
اس قحط الرجال میں مولانا جیسے حکمت دین سے واقف صاحب فہم و بصیرت اور مدبر عالم، قوم کے درد مند مصلح اور ملت کے ہمدرد و غم گسار کا اٹھ جانا کس قدر المناک سانحہ ہے۔
مولانا ایک عالم و مصنف اور صاحب سلوک و عرفان بزرگ ہی نہ تھے بلکہ زمانے کے نبض شناس، وقت کے تقاضوں اور حالات سے باخبر اور عاقبت بیں بھی تھے جن کا عمل اس پر تھا کہ:
نکل کر خانقاہوں سے ادا کر رسمِ شبیری
کہ فقرِ خانقاہی ہے فقط اندوہ و دل گیری
وہ مذہبی، اصلاحی، قومی، ملی، تعلیمی اور اجتماعی جدوجہد کے ہر محاذ پر سرگرم اور متحرک دکھائی دیتے تھے، انہیں مسلمانوں کی موجودہ پستی و زبوں حالی کا پوری طرح احساس بھی تھا اور وہ اس کے ازالے کے لیے نہایت فکر مند بھی رہتے تھے، آزاد ہندوستان میں جن مسائل نے مسلمانان ہند کی زندگی تلخ اور مکدر کر رکھی ہے، ان پر شور و غوغا مچانے لچھے دار باتیں اور دھواں دار تقریریں کرنے اور پُرجوش تحریریں لکھنے والے تو بہت سارے لوگ ہیں لیکن ان پر مولانا کی طرح تڑپنے، بے چین ہوجانے، درد و کرب خلش و اضطراب میں مبتلا ہونے والے بہت کم لوگ ہیں، وہ مسلمانوں کی فلاح و بہود کے لیے دعا و مناجات میں بھی مصروف رہتے تھے اور ملک کے گوشے گوشے کی خاک بھی چھانتے رہتے تھے، ان کے گریہ شب اور دعا ہائے سحر گاہی سے گھبرا کر ابلیس بھی یہ کہتا رہا ہوگا کہ
خال خال اس قوم میں اب تک نظر آتے ہیں وہ
A qualitative phenomenological approach was used in this study to describe the lived experiences of Tagumpay National High School (TNHS) teachers on Online Learning Action Cell (LAC) session. LAC is a school-based professional development for teachers implemented by the Philippine Department of Education (DepEd). Due to teacher’s lack of participation on classroom LAC, a fully-online mode option is explored by offering TNHS teachers Online LAC session using Facebook as a Learning Management System (LMS). To capture the lived experience of teachers, an in-depth interview with a purposive sample of one TNHS teacher is done in the process. The data gathered went through “Hycner’s Explicitation Process” (1999, in Groenewald, 2004) which includes bracketing, delineating, clustering, summarizing and extracting unique themes. Validity and Credibility were accomplished through an intercoder agreement between researchers, Facebook chat records, bracketing, and member checking. Results identified three themes in relation to teacher’s experience of Online LAC session including usefulness, barriers, and preference. Findings revealed the major role of TNHS teacher’s context on how Online LAC is utilized. Recommendations include administrator and expert teacher working with classroom teachers and the inclusion of teachers’ voices as input in the program design, implementation and evaluation stages of Online LAC to better address curriculum needs and facilitate the delivery of high-quality professional development for teachers’ professional growth.
The most important feature that directed to the development of new time series econometrics was the spurious regression. It is a phenomenon known to econometricians since the times of Yule (1926) who attributed this problem to missing variable. A spurious regression occurs when two independent series come up with significant regression results. For a long time, missing variables were considered as root cause of spurious regression. However, Granger and Newbold (1974) challenged this wisdom and presented unit root as one of the causes of spurious regression. The extensive literature considers the nonstationarity as the only cause of spurious regression. The researchers frequently employed unit root and co-integration procedures for the treatment of spurious regression in case of nonstationarity but these procedures are equally unreliable because of uncertainty about various specification decisions like choice of the deterministic part, structural breaks, choice of autoregressive, lag length and distribution of error term. On the other hand Granger et al. (2001) show that unit root is not the only reason for spurious regression. They show the possibility of spurious regression in stationary time series. Whereas unit root and cointegration are unable to deal with this problem because they deal only nonstationary series. Such amount of conventional econometric literature is inadequate to deal with the problem of spurious regression in stationary time series. The objective of this study is to provide an alternative solution of spurious regression for both stationary and nonstationary time series. So, this study makes two contributions in this particular setup. First, spurious regression occurs due to missing variable and can be avoided by including missing lag values. Therefore, an alternative way to look at the problem of spurious regression takes us back to the missing variable (lag values) which further leads to ARDL model. Second, it significantly reduces the probability of spurious regression in both stationary and nonstationary time series case. This study mainly focusing on Monte Carlo simulations and real data is also used for performance comparison of ARDL model and conventional procedures. Our results indicate that conventional methods are significantly suffering in size and there is power problems but the performance of ARDL in both cases is far better than conventional methods. ARDL model significantly reduced the probability of spurious regression in stationary and nonstationary time series case.