کیا یہ وزیر اعظم نہیں تھا؟
کیا اس نے ملک کو آئین نہیں دیا؟
کیا اس نے پاکستان کو ایٹمی قوت نہیں بنایا؟
کیا ا س نے 90ہزار جنگی قیدی واپس نہیں لائے؟
اگر یہ سچ ہے تو یہ سلوک کیوں؟
This study aims to find the implementation of hypnoteaching method in fiqh (Islamic law) learning in Madrasah Tsanawiyah NU Sunan Kalijaga, Adiwerna Tegal, Central Java. This research is a qualitative research, which is a case study. Data sources of this research are interviews and varius literature on hypnoteaching. There are two big conclusions in this research. First, the hypnoteaching method is a learning method that involves cognitive, affective and psychomotor aspects of students through positive suggestions. Second, the application of hypnoteaching fiqh learning in the field works effectively related to the synergy between the principles of hypnoteaching and the existing implementation plan of learning. However, there are still inhibiting factors, namely the minimum number of teachers who have competence in the application of hypnoteaching.
The aim of the thesis is to examine and analyze different aggregation algorithms to the forecasts obtained from individual neural network (NN) models in an ensemble. In this study an ensemble of 100 NN models are constructed with a heterogeneous architecture. The outputs from the individual NN models were combined by four different aggregation algorithms in NNs ensemble. These algorithms include equal weights combination of Best NN models, combination of trimmed forecasts, combination through Variance-Covariance method and Bayesian Model Averaging. The aggregation algorithms were employed on the forecasts obtained from all individual NN models as well as on a number of the best forecasts obtained from the best NN models. The output of the aggregation algorithms of NNs ensemble were analyzed and compared with each other and with the individual NN models used in NNs ensemble. The results of the aggregation algorithms of NNs ensemble are also compared with the Simple Averaging method. The performances of these aggregation algorithms of NNs ensemble were evaluated with the mean absolute percentage error and symmetric mean absolute percentage error.
In the empirical analysis, the methodologies developed were tested on the Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS load data set of five years from 2006 to 2010 for forecasting. It can be concluded from the results that the aggregation algorithms of NNs ensemble can improve the accuracy of forecast than the individual NN models with a test data set. Furthermore, in the comparison with the Simple Averaging method, the aggregation algorithms of NNs ensemble demonstrate slightly better performance than the Simple Averaging. It has also been observed during the empirical analysis that; reducing the size of ensemble increases the diversity and, hence, accuracy. Moreover, it has been concluded that more benefits can be achieved by the utilization of an advanced method for forecast combinations.