اسم ِ استفہامیہ :أنّٰی کہاں؟
ارشادِ ربانی ہے:
"اَنّٰى لَهُمُ الذِّكْرٰى وَقَدْ جَاءَهُمْ رَسُوْلٌ مُّبِيْنٌ"۔ [[1]]
"ان کے لئے نصیحت کہاں ہے؟ کھول کھول کر بیان کرنے والے پیغمبر ان کے پاس آچکے"۔
رسولِ مُبین کے دو مطلب ہیں ۔
ایک یہ کہ اس کا رسول ہونا اس کی سیرت، اس کے اخلاق و کردار اور اس کے کارناموں سے عیاں ہے۔
دوسرا یہ کہ اس نے حقیقت کو کھول، کھول کر بیان کرنے میں کوئی کسر نہیں اٹھا رکھی ہے۔اُس وقت یہ ماننے کا کوئی فائدہ نہیں : سو ارشاد فرمایا گیا کہ " اس وقت ان کے لیے نصیحت کا کوئی موقع کہاں باقی رہا جبکہ اس سے پہلے آچکے انکے پاس کھول کر بیان کرنے والے ایک عظیم الشان رسول " ۔ ایسے عظیم الشان رسول جن کی صداقت و حقانیت روز روشن کی طرح واضح تھی۔ اور واضح ہے۔ مگر پھر بھی یہ لوگ ایمان نہیں لائے تو اس کے بعد اب کیسے اور کیا ایمان لائیں گے؟ سو اس وقت ان کی تذلیل و تخجیل کیلئے اللہ کی طرف سے انکو یہ جواب دیا جائے گا۔ بہرکیف ارشاد فرمایا گیا کہ اِعلانِ حق کے پہنچ جانے اور اس کے دیکھ لینے کے بعد ایمان لانے اور نصیحت قبول کرنے کا موقع کہاں باقی رہے گا۔ بالخصوص جبکہ انکے پاس اِتمامِ حجت کیلئے اللہ تعالیٰ کی طرف سے ایک ایسا عظیم الشان رسول بھی پہنچ گیا جس نے انکے سامنے حق کو پوری طرح واضح کرکے اور نکھار کر بیان کر دیا تھا۔ لیکن انہوں نے اس کی بات کو مان کر نہ دیا سو ایمان لانے کا وہ موقع جب گزر گیا تو...
Challenges are part of the ways of life, and the Islamic world is suffering of the rupture and differentiates internal conflicts, and the chaos of thought and delayed civilization. The most prominent of these challenges, which the Islamic world is facing, is the phenomenon of globalization. Which included the three worlds, and sought to dominate them, and melt the people’s properties and this is what precipitated the emergence of numerous drawbacks, and the researcher specially mentioned, negative aspects of identity, ethics and the environment. Young people who are the hope and asset of this nation are able to turn dreams into realities, and hopes to practical projects, and ambitions to the visible achievements. They are worthwhile, and the most capable and powerful to meet these challenges. If they grasp the necessary requirements that qualify and stables them to face it and take advantage of its goodness, and avoid disadvantage. But if they stationed, and failed to do their duty, they offered loss and destruction to themselves and nation. Curriculum should be prepared in accordance with the system of Islamic values, which are the individual configuration integrated, in belief, thought, and behavior, and attention to the development of the curriculum, and make it combines tradition and modernity, and the distinction between fixed and variable, and have superior mental abilities. All these issues are addressed in this research the negative impact of globalization on the environment, ethics and then showed the importance of taking care of the human development of young people, through various training programs that earn young people skills, science, and sophisticated learning methodical thinking, proper planning, and positive participation in society, and carry responsibility, and foster in them the ability to dialogue and to develop in them the spirit of creativity and scientific research and rational dealing with crises, and tribulations, and the ability to solve problems and meet the challenges of globalizatio
The most important feature that directed to the development of new time series econometrics was the spurious regression. It is a phenomenon known to econometricians since the times of Yule (1926) who attributed this problem to missing variable. A spurious regression occurs when two independent series come up with significant regression results. For a long time, missing variables were considered as root cause of spurious regression. However, Granger and Newbold (1974) challenged this wisdom and presented unit root as one of the causes of spurious regression. The extensive literature considers the nonstationarity as the only cause of spurious regression. The researchers frequently employed unit root and co-integration procedures for the treatment of spurious regression in case of nonstationarity but these procedures are equally unreliable because of uncertainty about various specification decisions like choice of the deterministic part, structural breaks, choice of autoregressive, lag length and distribution of error term. On the other hand Granger et al. (2001) show that unit root is not the only reason for spurious regression. They show the possibility of spurious regression in stationary time series. Whereas unit root and cointegration are unable to deal with this problem because they deal only nonstationary series. Such amount of conventional econometric literature is inadequate to deal with the problem of spurious regression in stationary time series. The objective of this study is to provide an alternative solution of spurious regression for both stationary and nonstationary time series. So, this study makes two contributions in this particular setup. First, spurious regression occurs due to missing variable and can be avoided by including missing lag values. Therefore, an alternative way to look at the problem of spurious regression takes us back to the missing variable (lag values) which further leads to ARDL model. Second, it significantly reduces the probability of spurious regression in both stationary and nonstationary time series case. This study mainly focusing on Monte Carlo simulations and real data is also used for performance comparison of ARDL model and conventional procedures. Our results indicate that conventional methods are significantly suffering in size and there is power problems but the performance of ARDL in both cases is far better than conventional methods. ARDL model significantly reduced the probability of spurious regression in stationary and nonstationary time series case.