Search or add a thesis

Advanced Search (Beta)
Home > Acomparative Empirical Investigation of the Validity of the Traditional Capm, the Higher-Moment Capm and the Downside Risk Based Capm in the Emerging Equity Market of Pakistan

Acomparative Empirical Investigation of the Validity of the Traditional Capm, the Higher-Moment Capm and the Downside Risk Based Capm in the Emerging Equity Market of Pakistan

Thesis Info

Access Option

External Link

Author

Muhammad Akbar

Program

PhD

Institute

Bahria University

City

Islamabad

Province

Islamabad

Country

Pakistan

Thesis Completing Year

2013

Thesis Completion Status

Completed

Subject

Economics

Language

English

Link

http://prr.hec.gov.pk/jspui/handle/123456789/1043

Added

2021-02-17 19:49:13

Modified

2024-03-24 20:25:49

ARI ID

1676724452764

Similar


Though there is plethora of asset pricing models proposed to explain the cross-section of asset returns, however, these models require ideal perfect conditions which are grossly present in developed markets of the world. The present study aims to investigate the empirical validity and comparative performance of the traditional capital asset pricing model (CAPM), the higher- moment CAPM and the downside risk based CAPM in explaining the cross section of stock returns in the emerging equity market of Pakistan. Given the acclaimed theoretical supremacy of the downside risk based CAPM it is expected to perform better at explaining the cross-section of stock returns in the Pakistani equity market, i.e. KSE. For empirical analysis, this study uses the Fama-MacBeth methodology (Fama & MacBeth, 1973). Accordingly a sample of 313 stocks from 30 different sectors listed on the Karachi stock exchange is used to form portfolios and the KSE100 index is used as a proxy for the market portfolio. Monthly data on all the variables was obtained over sample period July 2000 to June 2011. The six month’s Treasury bills rate is used as a proxy for the risk free rate. Time series regression and cross sectional regression techniques are used for empirical analysis in line with the Fama-MacBeth methodology. To overcome the problem of heteroskedasticity in the cross sectional regression, the models are estimated using two alternative techniques; white heteroskedasticity-consistent standard errors and covariance matrix and generalized least squares (GLS). Further the traditional CAPM and the higher- moment CAPM are also estimated in the conditional form using generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. The findings of the present study on the empirical validity of the traditional CAPM, the higher- moment CAPM and the downside risk based CAPM are mostly mixed and inconclusive. This implies that though the downside risk based CAPM may have a stronger theoretical background; however, empirically it performs no differently than the traditional CAPM and higher-moment CAPM in explaining the cross section of stock returns in the KSE. In the empirical estimation of all the models, the intercept terms has been mostly found to be statistically insignificant which evidences the absence of consistent mispricing at the KSE over the sample period. This finding is consistent with the underlying theories of the traditional CAPM, the higher-moment CAPM and the downside risk based CAPM which state the hypothesis that the intercept term should be xvistatistically insignificant. The findings of the study suggest that there is no statistically significant risk premium for systematic risk as defined in traditional CAPM, higher-moment CAPM and the downside risk based CAPM over the full and sub-sample periods. However, the unconditional systematic risk in the traditional CAPM has been found to positive and statistically significant over the sub-sample period of July 2007 to June 2009 using GLS as estimation technique. The findings of the present study show that co-skwness and co-kurtosis risks are mostly insignificantly priced in conditional and unconditional form over the full and sub-sample periods. However, over the sub-sample period of June 2007 to July 2009, the unconditional co- skewness risk is negatively and statistically significantly priced, using white heteroskedasticity- consistent standard errors and covariance matrix in the cross-sectional regression, which is consistent with the theory of higher-moment CAPM. The co-skewness risk has also been shown to be marginally statistically significantly (at 10 percent) and correctly priced over the full sample period using the three moment specification using white heteroskedasticity-consistent standard errors and covariance matrix. The findings also revealed that co-kurtosis risk is positively and statistically significantly priced over the sub-sample periods of July 2003 to February 2006 and July 2003 to June 2005 using GLS as estimation technique in the cross sectional regression. Based on the major findings of the present study, it is concluded that there is lack of substantive evidence to validate any of the competing asset pricing theories i.e. the traditional CAPM, the higher-moment CAPM and the downside risk based CAPM in the KSE. Hence it may be implied that the KSE is an inefficient equity market and does not provide a fair risk-return trade-off. It implies that any diversification based on the underlying theory of any of the asset pricing models investigated in the present study may result in poor investment performance and losses. Investors should give more attention to obtain and analyze information that is adequate, accurate and timely. The stock markets in Pakistan should be demutualized to reduce the role of insider trading, private information as well as speculation and manipulation of the market by few influential market players. For future research the market micro-structure may be considered and investigate to explain the cross-section of stock returns in the KSE.
Loading...
Loading...

Similar Books

Loading...

Similar Chapters

Loading...

Similar News

Loading...

Similar Articles

Loading...

Similar Article Headings

Loading...

مولانا قاضی محمد معین اﷲ ندوی

مولانا قاضی محمد معین اﷲ ندوی
افسوس ہے کہ گزشتہ مہینے دارالعلوم ندوۃ العلماء کے نائب ناظم مولانا قاضی معین اﷲ ندوی اپنے وطن اندور میں انتقال فرماگئے، اناﷲ وانا الیہ راجعون۔
مولانا سید ابوالحسن علی ندوی کی سربراہی اور سرپرستی میں ان کے معاصرین کے ندوے جانے کے بعد اس کے علمی، تعلیمی اور انتظامی کاموں کو سنبھالنے کے لیے جو جماعت آگے بڑھی ان میں مولانا قاضی معین اﷲ ندوی کا نام زیادہ ممتاز ہے، ندوہ کے تعلیمی مراحل طے کرنے کے بعد وہ یہیں استاذ مقرر کئے گئے۔ اسی زمانے میں مولانا سید ابوالحسن علی ندوی بلاد اسلامیہ کی سیاحت کے لیے نکلے تو ان کے رفقائے سفر میں مولانا معین اﷲ صاحب بھی تھے۔ اس سفر کا انہیں فائدہ ہوا۔ چنانچہ جب ندوہ کے ذمہ داروں کو قدیم نظام تعلیم میں داخل عربی صرف و نحو اور ادب کی کتابوں کے نقائص کا شدت سے احساس ہوا تو انہوں نے نحو و صرف کی فارسی کتب کے بجائے اردو میں سہل کتابوں کی اشاعت کا پروگرام بنایا، اس کے لیے ان کی نظر دارالعلوم کے ان معلمین پر پڑی جو ابتدائی درجوں میں زبان و صرف و نحو کی تعلیم میں مشغول تھے، اس کے علاوہ مصر میں عربی زبان و ادب کی ترقی و اشاعت کے لیے اس کے اصول و قواعد کی از سر نو تدوین اور طرزِ تعلیم میں اصلاح و تجدید کی جو کوششیں ہورہی تھیں اس سے بھی یہ لوگ واقف تھے اس بنا پر ان سے مبتدیوں کی مشق و تمرین کے لیے نحو و صرف اور ادب و انشا کی کتابیں لکھنے کی فرمایش کی گئی۔ مولانا معین اﷲ صاحب نے اس سلسلے کی تکمیل میں تمرین الصرف لکھ کر ہاتھ بٹایا جو جدید طرز پر صرف کی ایک مشقی کتاب ہے۔
مولانا معین اﷲ...

Relationship Between Organizational Culture and Employee Performance Through Work Stress at the Regional Office of the East Java I Directorate General of Customs

This study aims to analyze the Relationship between Organizational Culture and Employee Performance through Work Stress at the Regional Office of the Directorate General of Customs and Excise, East Java I. This research method is an explanatory research, the analysis unit in this study is employees who work in the Directorate General of Customs and Excise Office. East Java I region, which consists of 80 structural officials, 79 functional officials and 1323 executive staff. The method of collecting research data using a questionnaire. The results showed that organizational culture affects the work stress of employees at the Regional Office of the Directorate General of Customs and Excise, East Java I, this shows that organizational culture is able to increase the work stress of employees of the Regional Office of the Directorate General of Customs and Excise, East Java. Organizational culture influences the performance of the employees of the Regional Office of the Directorate General of Customs and Excise, East Java I, this shows that with a good and appropriate organizational culture, it is able to increase the performance of the employees of the Regional Office of the Directorate General of Customs and Excise, East Java I. New organizational culture that also improves Employee stress, namely the imposition of input into daily work activity reports by employees in the daily logbook through an internet-based application with details on the types of activities, time norms, achievement targets and employee daily problems for all levels of employees, both structural, functional and executive.

Us Policy in Indian Ocean:

The Indian Ocean has attained significance as center stage of world politics in current century. The regions of Asia Pacific & Atlantic were the main theatres of warfare generally in World Wars and specifically in cold war .Asia has emerged as epicenter of global politics in current timeframe. Indian Ocean politics has greatly affected the US policy in post-cold war and post 9/11 period due to growing Chinese and Indian interests and presence in the region. This triangular relationship between US, China and India has great implications on regional balance of power and especially on Pakistan. The main purpose of this study is to analyze the United States Policy in the Indian Ocean during post-cold war period from year 1990 to 2014. A comprehensive research has been done to determine the implications of US approach on Pakistan’s foreign and maritime policy. Although qualitative in nature but content analysis method has been adopted for research. Analytical, historical and descriptive approach has been employed to understand strategic moves from different angles. Apart from relevant primary data i.e. official reports and documents, interviews from naval officers and experts have been effectuated in order to fathom the expert view and to ample the study vision. It has been concluded that US reframed its policy through offensive realist perspective especially in Iraq and Afghanistan. United States approach was to subjugate Pakistan through coercive diplomacy in post- cold war and post 9/11 period. US have revised its Cooperative Security Strategy of 2007 as Cooperative security Strategy for 21 century in 2012: Forward, Engaged, Ready; it has shifted its focus to Asia Pacific after declaration of Asia Pivot policy. Pakistan had no other option except to look towards China in order to counter balance the growing Indo-US synergy in the Indian Ocean. US inclination towards India has turned into a challenge for Pakistan’s foreign and maritime policy makers. The need of the hour is to re-visit maritime and foreign policy of Pakistan keeping in view changing dynamics of Indian Ocean geopolitics.