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Home > Acomparative Empirical Investigation of the Validity of the Traditional Capm, the Higher-Moment Capm and the Downside Risk Based Capm in the Emerging Equity Market of Pakistan

Acomparative Empirical Investigation of the Validity of the Traditional Capm, the Higher-Moment Capm and the Downside Risk Based Capm in the Emerging Equity Market of Pakistan

Thesis Info

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External Link

Author

Muhammad Akbar

Program

PhD

Institute

Bahria University

City

Islamabad

Province

Islamabad

Country

Pakistan

Thesis Completing Year

2013

Thesis Completion Status

Completed

Subject

Economics

Language

English

Link

http://prr.hec.gov.pk/jspui/handle/123456789/1043

Added

2021-02-17 19:49:13

Modified

2024-03-24 20:25:49

ARI ID

1676724452764

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Though there is plethora of asset pricing models proposed to explain the cross-section of asset returns, however, these models require ideal perfect conditions which are grossly present in developed markets of the world. The present study aims to investigate the empirical validity and comparative performance of the traditional capital asset pricing model (CAPM), the higher- moment CAPM and the downside risk based CAPM in explaining the cross section of stock returns in the emerging equity market of Pakistan. Given the acclaimed theoretical supremacy of the downside risk based CAPM it is expected to perform better at explaining the cross-section of stock returns in the Pakistani equity market, i.e. KSE. For empirical analysis, this study uses the Fama-MacBeth methodology (Fama & MacBeth, 1973). Accordingly a sample of 313 stocks from 30 different sectors listed on the Karachi stock exchange is used to form portfolios and the KSE100 index is used as a proxy for the market portfolio. Monthly data on all the variables was obtained over sample period July 2000 to June 2011. The six month’s Treasury bills rate is used as a proxy for the risk free rate. Time series regression and cross sectional regression techniques are used for empirical analysis in line with the Fama-MacBeth methodology. To overcome the problem of heteroskedasticity in the cross sectional regression, the models are estimated using two alternative techniques; white heteroskedasticity-consistent standard errors and covariance matrix and generalized least squares (GLS). Further the traditional CAPM and the higher- moment CAPM are also estimated in the conditional form using generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. The findings of the present study on the empirical validity of the traditional CAPM, the higher- moment CAPM and the downside risk based CAPM are mostly mixed and inconclusive. This implies that though the downside risk based CAPM may have a stronger theoretical background; however, empirically it performs no differently than the traditional CAPM and higher-moment CAPM in explaining the cross section of stock returns in the KSE. In the empirical estimation of all the models, the intercept terms has been mostly found to be statistically insignificant which evidences the absence of consistent mispricing at the KSE over the sample period. This finding is consistent with the underlying theories of the traditional CAPM, the higher-moment CAPM and the downside risk based CAPM which state the hypothesis that the intercept term should be xvistatistically insignificant. The findings of the study suggest that there is no statistically significant risk premium for systematic risk as defined in traditional CAPM, higher-moment CAPM and the downside risk based CAPM over the full and sub-sample periods. However, the unconditional systematic risk in the traditional CAPM has been found to positive and statistically significant over the sub-sample period of July 2007 to June 2009 using GLS as estimation technique. The findings of the present study show that co-skwness and co-kurtosis risks are mostly insignificantly priced in conditional and unconditional form over the full and sub-sample periods. However, over the sub-sample period of June 2007 to July 2009, the unconditional co- skewness risk is negatively and statistically significantly priced, using white heteroskedasticity- consistent standard errors and covariance matrix in the cross-sectional regression, which is consistent with the theory of higher-moment CAPM. The co-skewness risk has also been shown to be marginally statistically significantly (at 10 percent) and correctly priced over the full sample period using the three moment specification using white heteroskedasticity-consistent standard errors and covariance matrix. The findings also revealed that co-kurtosis risk is positively and statistically significantly priced over the sub-sample periods of July 2003 to February 2006 and July 2003 to June 2005 using GLS as estimation technique in the cross sectional regression. Based on the major findings of the present study, it is concluded that there is lack of substantive evidence to validate any of the competing asset pricing theories i.e. the traditional CAPM, the higher-moment CAPM and the downside risk based CAPM in the KSE. Hence it may be implied that the KSE is an inefficient equity market and does not provide a fair risk-return trade-off. It implies that any diversification based on the underlying theory of any of the asset pricing models investigated in the present study may result in poor investment performance and losses. Investors should give more attention to obtain and analyze information that is adequate, accurate and timely. The stock markets in Pakistan should be demutualized to reduce the role of insider trading, private information as well as speculation and manipulation of the market by few influential market players. For future research the market micro-structure may be considered and investigate to explain the cross-section of stock returns in the KSE.
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مولانا صفی الرحمن مبارکپوری

مولانا صفی الرحمان مبارک پوری
بہ روز جمعہ یکم دسمبر ۲۰۰۶؁ء کو مرکزی جمعیۃ اہل حدیث ہند کے سابق امیر اور صاحب الرحیق المختوم مولانا صفی الرحمان مبارک پوری نے داعی اجل کو لبیک کہا، اناﷲ وانا الیہ راجعون۔
ضلع اعظم گڑھ میں مبارک پور پارچہ بافی کی صنعت کے لیے ایک مشہور قصبہ ہے جو علمی و تعلیمی حیثیت سے بھی ممتاز ہے اور یہ بعض بڑے علما و مصنفین کا مولد و مسکن بھی رہا ہے، مبارک پور سے متصل جانب شمال میں حسین آباد کی بستی میں مولانا صفی الرحمان صاحب ۱۹۴۲؁ء میں پیدا ہوئے۔
انہوں نے جامعہ فیض عام مؤ سے درس نظامی کی تحصیل کی اور اسی دوران الٰہ آباد بورڈ کے امتحانات مولوی اور عالم بھی پاس کئے، تعلیمی مرحلہ ختم کرنے کے بعد کئی مدارس میں تدریسی خدمات انجام دیں، ۱۹۷۱؁ء کی ہند و پاک کی جنگ کے زمانے میں وہ جامعتہ الرشاد سے وابستہ تھے، اس زمانے میں دارالمصنفین اکثر آتے اور کتب خانے سے استفادہ کرتے، مجھ سے اور مولوی ابوعلی عبدالباری صاحب مرحوم سے بہت بے تکلف ہوگئے تھے اور مختلف علمی ،دینی اور قومی و سیاسی مسائل پر گفتگو کرتے، اس سے ان کی ذہانت، قوت گویائی، اچھی صلاحیت اور مسائل حاضرہ سے باخبری کا انداز ہوتا، ہونہار بروا کے چکنے چکنے پات۔
مگر جامعۃ الرشاد سے ان کا تعلق بہت کم عرصے تک رہا اور بالآخر وہ اپنی اصلی جگہ پہنچ گئے یعنی جامعہ سلفیہ بنارس میں درس و تدریس کی خدمت انہیں تفویض کی گئی، یہاں ان کی مخفی صلاحیتیں جلاپانے لگیں، تقریر و خطابت کا ملکہ تو پہلے ہی سے ان میں نمایاں تھا، یہاں آکر قلم نے بھی گل کاریاں شروع کیں تو جامعہ کے ماہانہ رسالہ ’’محدث‘‘ کی ادارت کی ذمہ داری ان کو سپرد کی گئی جسے انہوں نے حسن...

دور معلمي التربية الإسلامية في تعزيز قيمة العفة لدى طلاب المرحلة الثانوية من وجهة نظر المشرفين التربويين بمكة المكرمة

هدفت الدراسة إلى الوقوف على واقع دور معلمي التربية الإسلامية في تعزيز قيمة العفة لدى طلاب المرحلة الثانوية من وجهة نظر المشرفين التربويين بمكة المكرمة، ومعرفة التحديات التي تواجههم، والوصول إلى حلول مقترحة في ذلك، واستخدم الباحث المنهج الوصفي، واستخدمت الاستبانة أداة للدراسة لجمع البيانات والمعلومات من عينة الدراسة، والتي تكونت من خمسة وثلاثين مشرفًا للتربية الإسلامية وهم كامل مجتمع الدراسة، وتوصلت الدراسة إلى النتائج التالية: درجة موافقة عينة الدراسة على دور معلمي التربية الإسلامية في تعزيز قيمة العفة لدى طلاب المرحلة الثانوية بشكل عام عالية جدًا، حيث كانت استجاباتهم موافقة بشدة، كما أن درجة موافقة عينة الدراسة على واقع دور معلمي التربية الإسلامية في تعزيز قيمة العفة لدى طلاب المرحلة الثانوية جاءت عالية جدًا، حيث كانت استجاباتهم موافقة بشدة، وكذلك درجة موافقة عينة الدراسة على الصعوبات التي تواجه معلمي التربية الإسلامية في تعزيز قيمة العفة لدى طلاب المرحلة الثانوية جاءت بدرجة عالية، حيث كانت استجاباتهم موافقة، ودرجة موافقة عينة الدراسة على الحلول المقترحة لمعلمي التربية الإسلامية في تعزيز قيمة العفة لدى طلاب المرحلة الثانوية جاءت عالية جدًا، حيث كانت استجاباتهم موافقة بشدة، وعدم وجود فروق ذات دلالة إحصائية عند مستوى الدلالة (0.05) بين وجهة نظر عينة الدراسة حول دور معلمي التربية الإسلامية في تعزيز قيمة العفة لدى طلاب المرحلة الثانوية تعزى لمتغير (المؤهل العلمي). وعلى ضوء نتائج الدراسة تم صياغة مجموعة من التوصيات منها: إقامة ورش عمل واجتماعات مع معلمي التربية الإسلامية لتعزيز قيمة العفة لدى طلاب المرحلة الثانوية ومعرفة الصعوبات التي تواجههم ووضع الحلول لها، وحثهم على استخدام الأساليب التربوية المناسبة.

Spiritual Practices at the Shrines of Chishtiya Order in the Punjab: A Comparative Study of Dargah Baba Farid Ganj Shaker and Khawaja Shams-Ud-Din Sialvi

Sufism is recognized as an important mystical facet of Islamic history. The expansion of Islam is also indebted to Sufis who migrated to different regions with the universal message of Islam and they further established and developed various Sufi orders and schools of thought. Among the many orders that took root in the subcontinent, the Chishtiya order gained prominence and became conspicuous. Chishti Khanqahs or the dwellings of the Chishti Sufis were grounds of spirituality where a unique culture thrived. These abodes fundamentally altered the socio-religious history of the region. Hundreds of Chishti Dargahs all over India and Pakistan continue to work as independent living institutions even today.Much scholarly work has been produced on the Chishtiya Sufi order in the subcontinent and studies have been conducted to compare its teachings to those of different schools of Sufi thoughts in various times and ages. Researchers have also made in depth studies of the Khanqahi structure of Chishtiya order but little study has been made on the spiritual/Sufi practices at the Chishti Dargahs and the social, political, religious and economic role of these Dargahs in contemporary times. This research attempts to look at the Sufi practices at the two Chishti Dargahs in West Punjab, Pakistan. For this study the Dargah of Baba Farid Masud-ud-Din Ganj-e-Shaker in Pakpattan, Sahiwal and Khawaja Shams-ud-Din Sialvi in Sial Sharif, Sargodha have been chosen for their multifunctional role in the region. Both, Chishti Khanqahi and Dargahi structure are analyzed side by side as both are intertwined with each other. The study also comprehends the multifunctional character of Dargahs and studies the character of Khanqahs and their function and perpetual impact on the region of Indo-Pak subcontinent.The first chapter explores the historical role of the Chishtiya school of thought, its teachings and practices. It also discusses Chishti Khanqahs‘ function and their impact on the medieval Indian society. It attempts to trace Chishti Khanqahs‘ syncretistic tendencies that synthesize Indian art and culture with Muslim traditions. The chapter also tries to locate the reasons that make Chishti Dargahs a living institution in contemporary times.The second chapter locates Medieval Punjab as the first South Asian region to encounter the impact of early Sufi mystics. The research analyzes the sociocultural set up of the times and the role of Sufi Khanqahs/Dargahs such as that of Ali bin Usman Hajviri‘s, commonly known as Data Sahib and Chishti Dargah of Baba Farid Ganj Shaker in Pakpattan. The study attempts to investigate both Dargahs‘ intellectual, social and religious impact on the socio-cultural and religious set up of the Medieval Punjab.Third chapter studies the historical narration of the Dargah of Baba Farid Ganj Shaker. Investigation is done from its Khanqahi structure and its working in 11th century‘s Punjab to its Dargahi structure and its functioning in contemporary Punjab. The major purpose of the chapter is to analyze the Dargahi structure which is multifold in its character, such as its socioreligious, spiritual, political and economic function and impacts on its environs.The fourth chapter discusses manifold role of the Dargah of Khawaja Shamsud- Din Sialvi in the region. The chapter aims to analyze the significance of Chishti Sufi Dargah in late eighteenth and nineteenth centuries. It also explores the political, social, sacred and economic role of the Dargah in the region. Another distinctive feature of the Dargah which study highlights is its literary and scholastic contribution throughout the region and overall the country. In the fifth chapter the main focus is given on ritual, religious/Sufi rituals and their performance by giving emphasis on the Sufi practices at both Chishti Dargahs. Study tries to locate the reasons behind the visitation of Dargahs. To get the actual findings anthropological research is conducted and for that most of data was collected during Urs celebrations at both Dargahs. The study also takes into account the architectural structures and spaces of both Dargahs and analyzes how they have evolved through time and affected some of the Sufi practices at the Dargah.In the last chapter the research evaluates the similarities and differences in the multidimensional role of both Chishti Dargahs and also in the Sufi Practices which are performed there.