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Adaptive Capacity, Adaptation to Climate Change and Farm Productivity: Evidence from Pakistan

Thesis Info

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Author

Siddiqua, Aisha

Program

PhD

Institute

Pakistan Institute of Development Economics

City

Islamabad

Province

Islamabad

Country

Pakistan

Thesis Completing Year

2019

Thesis Completion Status

Completed

Subject

Economics

Language

English

Link

http://prr.hec.gov.pk/jspui/bitstream/123456789/10636/1/Aisha_Siddiqua_Economics_HSR_2019_PIDE_1.08.2019.pdf

Added

2021-02-17 19:49:13

Modified

2024-03-24 20:25:49

ARI ID

1676724454297

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Assesment of vulnerability of a community to climate change requires a holistic understanding of the exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity of that particular community. The extant literature on the issue emphasizes importance of enhancing the adaptive capacity of households to improve their resilience to climate change. This study intends to analyze the factors that could define the adaptive capacity of the farming communities of Pakistan.Moreover, role of adaptive capacity in adaptation to climate change and then indirectly its influence on the yield of the major crops of Pakistan has also examined. The accomplishment of above mentioned goals entails a series of analyses.To identify the factors that influence households’ adaptive capacity, we constructed composite Household Adaptive Capacity Index (HACI). The index is constructed by employing assets based approach of Sustainable Livelihood Framework (SLF), where assets are categorized as human, physical, social, and natural capital. SLF views that availability of these assets enables people to respond to climate indicators and other stresses. This part of analysis helps to identify the factors needed to target in order to enhance the adaptive capacity of the households, hence to increase resilience of farmers to climate change. Given the fact that adaptive capacity of farm households functions as the driving force for adaptation, the analysis was further extended to study the adaptation decision and adaptation strategies undertaken. We study the impact of adaptive capacity on decision to adapt and, further examine thereof the expected increase in crop output when farmers are adapting to climate change. To evaluate the influence of different adaptation strategies—in isolation or in combination— on crops productivities, Multinomial Endogenous Switching (MES) Regression model is employed. This technique is adopted to account for the heterogeneity in the decision to adapt or not. Analysis to understand the impact of adaptation to climate change on yield was limited to four major crops of wheat, basmati rice, cotton, and sugarcane. It is asserted here that the analysis was controlled for socioeconomic and demographic characteristics shaping the adaptive capacity and adaptations of the farming community. The findings demonstrate a great deal of IX inequality in adaptive capacity in Pakistan especially among farm households of Sindh compared to Punjab and KPK. The findings further suggest that farmers should be assured with the provision of low-interest rate loans so that they could opt for off farm business, hence improve their livelihood portfolio and reduce dependence on farming. More resources should be deployed on the improvement of health status of farm households, quality of the houses, and provision of gas as a source of cooking. Social security should be provided to decrease the burden on bread winners from elderly and non-working members. Obstacles in effective linkages and collaboration with social groups and networks should be highlighted and removed. Gender should be taken seriously in climate change adaptation, with the provisions of rights and opportunities for the women in rural areas. In order to remove obstacles in farmers’ adaptation to climate change policies should be designed to increase the farm size, quality of extension centers and of the sources of information on climate change, and farmers’ should be facilitated with easy access to credit. Findings of the study further highlight that maximum gains in yield of wheat could be gained by introducing changes in irrigation practices. While, basmati rice producers could earn these gains by adapting the combination of input intensification and irrigation change. The evidence further suggest that cotton producers could receive maximum benefits from an adaptation by combining the change in time of sowing, input intensification and change in the irrigation practice. However, highest gains in the yield of sugarcane could be received when farmers adapt in the combination of input intensification, irrigation change, and varietal change
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باتوں سے بھی آگے تری سانسوں میں رہیں گے

باتوں سے بھی آگے تری سانسوں میں رہیں گے
دن جب بھی پھرے ہم تری راتوں میں رہیں گے

دوڑیں گے ترے جسم میں ہم بن کے محبت
ہم زندہ ترے عشق حوالوں میں رہیں گے

ہے قحط اگر وصل کا اس دشتِ جنوں میں
ہم ہجر زدہ آس کے ناتوں میں رہیں گے

اے ابرِ محبت! نہ ترا پہلو ملا تو
ہم صیدِ قفس ہجر کی گھاتوں میں رہیں گے

خوشبو ہے کہ سایہ ہے مرا، گل کہ فضاؔ ہے
اک خواب ہے، ہم ایسے ہی خوابوں میں رہیں گے

The Impact of Prophetic Hijrah on the Societies of Makkah and Madinah

The aim of Hijrah is philosophically viewed as a way to spread Islam wisely. This was by Allah’s guidance and directive amidst the very bitter atmosphere in Makkah at that time against the early followers of the Islamic religion brought by the Rasulullah (pbuh). The prophetic Hijrah observed from the way it impacted Makkah and Madinah’s societies can be construed as a very important event that provided us with a variety of messages. It also acts as a reflection of our contributions to da’wah and the roles we can assume as good Muslims, by looking at what the Rasulullah (pbuh) and his companions had themselves sacrificed in the Hijrah. In short, Al-Hijra is the time when the Prophet Muhammad (pbuh) and his followers moved from Makkah to Madinah, where they set up the first Islamic state. Islam needed to expand and spread in the world, so the migration resulted in the expansion and preservation of Islam and Muslims. The Rasulullah (pbuh) migrated to Madinah when his enemies in Makkah mistreated him and his followers. It is a fact that the early Muslims in Makkah were greatly troubled by the unbelievers of Quraisy, the tribe of the Prophet (pbuh). The Rasulullah’s (pbuh) popularity in his da'wah efforts to invite his people to Islam was seen as threatening by the people in power in Makkah. The context of Hijrah was seen as urgent and timely as the unbelievers in Makkah had escalated the persecution against Muhammad (pbuh) and his followers. This persecution and a directive from Allah were the main reasons for the migration.

Privacy Protection in Collaborative Contents Sharing for Online Social Networks

The Online Social Network (OSN) facilitates users’ openness to a wider audience and social circles, which was not possible before its invention. However, this freedom of social expression and sharing of personal information may lead to violate the privacy of an individual and content. OSN has issue of privacy protection, which can be data about a user or the contents shared by user, especially in a group communication. The primaryobjectiveofthisresearchworkistoprotecttheprivacyofthecontentsthatare shared within the group. In general, OSN’s group communication can be divided into Open Group and Closed Group. In an Open Group, the contents are shared among the group members and further sharing is allowed. On the other hand, in Closed Group the contents are shared among the group members only. In Open Group, the problem withOSNisthatoncethecontentisshared,thedataownerorco-ownerhasnocontrol over its further distribution. Thus we provide a framework for collaborative content sharing which transfers the control of data dissemination from the service providers to data owner or co-owner. In the proposed framework, an Access Management Server (AMS)isintroducedasamiddlewaretointeractwiththeOSNserverandmanagesusers. The AMS encrypts the content before uploading to the OSN server and creates secret sharesoftheencryptionkeythatcanbeusedfortheauthorizationofaco-ownertothe content. Similarly,furthersharingofcontentwithotherusers(Viewers)isallowedwith the consent of threshold number of co-owners provided by the data owner. In Closed vii Group, the content is shared within the group members only, and no further sharing is allowed. Thegroupcommunicationcanbesecuredusingthecryptographictechniques, but group key management is a problem, especially in case of untrusted server. This work provides, a Scalable Group Key Management Protocol (SGKMP) to generate the shared group key and its procedure for modification in case a user leaves or joins the group. The key setup phase of the proposed protocol requires two rounds to complete it irrespective of group size, in contrast to the existing protocols that need n rounds to achieve it, where n is the total number of users in the group. Similarly, the protocol is scalable enough to update key by even a single group member without involving all groupmember