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Food Price and Households Welfare Comparisons: Evidence from Household Panel Data in Rural Pakistan

Thesis Info

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Author

Naz, Lubna

Program

PhD

Institute

Pakistan Institute of Development Economics

City

Islamabad

Province

Islamabad

Country

Pakistan

Thesis Completing Year

2016

Thesis Completion Status

Completed

Subject

Rural Develment

Language

English

Link

http://prr.hec.gov.pk/jspui/bitstream/123456789/9732/1/Lubna_Naz_Economics_2016_PIDE_10.06.2016.pdf

Added

2021-02-17 19:49:13

Modified

2024-03-24 20:25:49

ARI ID

1676724723527

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This study analyzes static and dynamic welfare impacts of real food price changes across various income and land holding groups, low price, and high price periods as well as across region. This study uses panel data set, Pakistan Rural Household Survey, PIDE, with the objective to analyze dynamic consumption behavior. All three rounds (2001, 2004 and 2010) are used. This research work makes three main contributions in literature. First, this study uses QUAIDS demand model to estimate demand functions for eight food groups''-cereals, meat, milk and milk products, vegetables, cooking oil, pulses and other food. The system of equations is estimated by NLSUR using the result of Lagrange Multiplier, and of test on the coefficient of squared expenditure term, which supports the inclusion of squared expenditure term in food demand model. This study tests for endogeneity and uses control function for its correction. The problem of observed zero expenditure is dealt with a two-steps procedure. Second, it decomposes overall sample into low price and high price periods, and uses expenditure and price elasticity coefficients from QUAIDS to analyze static and dynamic welfare effects of real food price changes. The compensated variation (CV), money metric loss from food price changes, is estimated for all subsamples: upper and bottom income quintiles, landless, small and large landowners and Sindh and Punjab. Third, this study compares the findings of this study on welfare implications of food price changes based on QUAIDS with the earlier research, which used other specifications of the demand system. In addition, this study analyzes the food insecurity of rural household by using various indicators across periods, and for the entire sample. The indicators used in the study are per adult equivalent calorie, vii calorie availability per capita, calorie from staple food, and percentage share of food expenditures. The findings indicated that dynamic welfare impacts of real food price changes are lower than static welfare impacts in all subsamples. The static and dynamic welfare impacts are higher for poorest in the income group and for landless in the land holding group. Across regions, static and welfare impacts of real food price changes are smaller in Punjab as compared to Sindh. Across periods, money metric losses from food price changes are significantly larger in high price period than low price period. Households are food insecure on the medium scale in the sample period. All indicators, except percentage share of food, worsen in high price period implying negative welfare impact of food price changes on food security. The findings of this study, based on appropriate methodology, answers many questions raised by policy makers on food insecurity.
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صحت مند رویے صحت مند معاشرہ

صحت مند رویّے صحت مند معاشرہ
نحمدہ و نصلی علی رسولہ الکریم امّا بعد فاعوذ بااللہ من الشیطن الرجیم
بسم اللہ الرحمن الرحیم
صدر ِمحترم اور معزز سامعین! آج مجھے جس موضوع پر اظہار خیال کرنا ہے وہ ہے:’’صحت مند رویے صحت مند معاشرہ‘‘
جنابِ صدر!
ہر ایک کی خواہش ہوتی ہے کہ وہ ایک معیاری زندگی گزارے، ایسی زندگی جس میں مسرتوں اور خوشیوں کے سوا اور کچھ نہ ہو، ایسی زندگی جو پریشانیوں اور مصیبتوں سے کوسوں دور ہو، ایسی زندگی جس میں انسان کے محبت اور پیار کا وافر سامان موجود ہو، ایسی زندگی جس کو دیکھ کر رشک کیا جائے۔
صدرِمحترم!
اس خواہش کی تکمیل کے لیے کئی خواہشات کی قربانی دینا پڑے گی، بے جا نمودونمائش کو چھوڑنا پڑے گا، ریا کاری، تصنع ، بناوٹ اور تفوق کے خیالات کو دل سے نکالنا ہوگا، حسد، بغض ،نفرت جیسی غیر اخلاقی بیماریوں سے کنارہ کشی اختیارکرنا ہوگی، بُخل، اسراف او ر ظلم و جبر جیسے تصورات اور نظریات کے عفریت کو کچلنا ہوگا۔
جنابِ صدر!
صحت مند رویے ہی صحت مند معاشرے کے قیام کا باعث ہوتے ہیں، صحت مند افراد صحت مند رویوں کا باعث ہوتے ہیں ، حدیث نبویؐ ہے کہ’’ صحت مند دماغ صحت مند جسم میں ہوتا ہے ‘‘ صحت درست ہوگی تو دماغ درست ہوگا، دماغ درست ہوگا تو خیالات درست ہوں گے سوچ مثبت ہوگی ، سوچ مثبت ہوگی تو معاشی اور معاشرتی غرض سے بنائے گئے منصوبے نافع ہوں گے۔
والسلام

Gambaran Kepatuhan Anak Terhadap Protokol Kesehatan Dalam Menjalankan Ibadah di Era Pandemi COVID-19

Tingkat penularan penyakit COVID-19 pada anak-anak di Indonesia tergolong cukup tinggi. Anak merupakan individu yang riskan dalam penularan COVID-19 karena belum terbentuknya kedewasaan berpikir mengenai bahaya penularan penyakit dan cenderung abai terhadap protokol kesehatan. Penularan COVID-19 di suatu area diawali dengan adanya imported-case, yakni penularan dari daerah lain melalui orang terinfeksi yang berkunjung ke daerah tersebut. Tempat ibadah menjadi sangat potensial untuk dikunjungi warga dari daerah luar kota, tidak terkecuali anak-anak. Tujuan penelitian ini untuk mengetahui perbandingan jumlah anak yang patuh dan tidak patuh dalam menggunakan masker, mencuci tangan, dan  menjaga jarak di tempat ibadah selama pandemi COVID-19. Penelitian ini merupakan penelitian observasional deskriptif dengan pendekatan Cross Sectional. Metode pengambilan sampel menggunakan accidental sampling dan didapatkan sampel sebanyak 96 orang anak. Hasil pada penelitian ini adalah sebanyak 63, 5% anak memakai masker, 38, 5% anak mencuci tangan, dan 9, 37% anak menjaga jarak. Hal ini menunjukkan bahwa tingkat penerapan protokol kesehatan pada anak saat menjalankan ibadah masih sangat rendah, terutama jaga jarak atau physical distancing.

Phytosociology and Dendrochronological Investigation of Shangla Pine Forests of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Pakistan

The focus of our study was quantitative vegetation description, community analysis, structure of forests, multivariate analysis and dendroecology, (age, growth rates) investigation of Shangla Pine Forests of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Forty different stands dominating conifers species were selected randomly for this study using point centered quarter method (PCQ). In each stand 20 points were taken at every 10 meter intervals. Ground flora was also recorded by using circular plot of 2.5 meter at each point. Phytosociological attributes (relative density, relative frequency and relative basal area) and absolute values (density ha -1 and basal area m 2 ha -1 ) were calculated for each site. On the basis of importance value index and floristic composition five communities and four pure monospecific conifer stands were recognized i.e. Abies pindrow - Picea smithiana community, Pinus wallichiana - Abies pindrow community, Cedrus deodara - Pinus wallichiana community, Picea smithiana - Pinus wallichiana community and monospecific stands of Pinus wallichiana, Abies pindrow, Pinus roxberghii and Cedrus deodara. Among these forty stands Pinus wallichiana was present in 32 stands which was the leading dominant species with the highest density of 296 individuals ha -1 followed by Abies pindrow which was observed in 9 stands with highest 86 basal area m 2 ha -1 , Picea smithiana and Cedrus deodara recorded from three locations, Pinus roxberghii from 2 sites and angiospermic tree Quercus baloot from 4 sites with very low 47 density ha-1 and 4.1 m 2 ha -1 basal area. Structure of these forests showed gaps in early dbh size classes as reported in many forests of Pakistan; however these gaps were due to illegal cutting and due to failure of regeneration. Therefore these forests are considered unstable. 19 Multivariate analysis i.e. classification, ordination of tree species and NMS for understory vegetation was applied to examine the vegetation pattern. Four major groups of tree vegetation were recognized for cluster analysis. All the groups were superimposed on ordination plane. Environmental characteristics (topographic factors, edaphic factors, soil physical properties and soil nutrients) were also evaluated for each group. Elevation was highly significant (P<0.001), pH, maximum water holding capacity, soil moisture and soil physical properties (sand, silt and clay) also showed significant (P < 0.05) relation, while the other variables did not show any significant relation. On the ordination basis elevation showed significant (P < 0.05 to P < 0.001) relation on axis 1 and axis 3. Cluster analysis of understory vegetation were also resulted into four groups, all these four groups were superimposed on ordination plane. Age and growth rates of different sized trees of four dominant tree species Pinus wallichiana, Abies pindrow, Cedrus deodara and Picea smithiana were estimated. In our study Age and growth rates of all four species showed highly significant correlation, diameter and age showed significant relation among three species, except Abies pindrow which did not show significant relation. The highest age was 326 years for Pinus wallichiana with 143 cm dbh sized tree. For Abies pindrow highest age was 412 years with 114 cm dbh size tree. Cedrus deodara 134 cm dbh tree attained 339 years while Picea smithiana highest age was 320 years. Forest ecology (Dendroecology) was also investigated to understand growth rates and its changes with the passage of time from seedling stage to mature tree of the study area. For this purpose three different aspects, variation in growth rates with time, variation in growth rate with different dbh size classes and variation in mean age with different diameter classes were find out. Growth rate was good in 18 century while it was decreased with passage of time. All these aspects showed non-ideal condition of the forest growth due to disturbances. Therefore forests are in critical situation and prompt action should be taken to save these forests.