Globalization and economic integration bring the stock markets closer around the world. The changing structures of international economies have substantial impact on the performance of stock markets world over. It becomes necessary to investigate the comovement of stock market returns among the world economies for better understanding the level of integration and dependencies among the countries. The current study analyzes the intra and inter-regional level comovement of stock market returns between the developed and emerging economies of America, Asia and Europe over the period 1988-2014. The study used the Error-correction-based panel cointegration model to analyze long-run equilibrium and short-run causality relationship between different equity markets. To confine the time varying behavior of comovements, the present study divided the whole period into sub periods i.e. tranquil periods (1988-1996, 1999-2006 and 2012-2014), the Asian financial crises periods (1997-1998) and global and European financial crises (2007-2011). Additionally, time varying correlation and non-parametric time varying panel data regression coefficients were also estimated to capture the extent of comovement and asymmetric impacts. The results of panel cointegration analysis revealed the strong evidence of long-and short-run cointegration of equity market returns between developed and emerging countries of America, Asia and Europe at intra-regional level. The results also exhibited strong cointegration relationships between developed-developed and developed- emerging countries at inter-regional level. But as concern to emerging-emerging economies, the analyses showed weak evidence regarding the long- and short-run cointegration between the stock returns of these markets. As concern to the sub-periods, no long-run cointegration relationships were found between any markets at inter-regional level during tranquil period 1988-1996. Further, the results revealed long term cointegration relationships between the developed and emerging equity markets of America, Asia and Europe during the tranquil periods of 1999-2006 and 2012-2014. Considering the Asian crises periods, the results provided evidence of cointegration only for the equity markets of Asia region. In contrast to Asian crises, all the developed and emerging equity markets of America, Asia and Europe viii exhibited strong cointegration relationships during the periods of global and European financial crises. To judge the extent of comovement, the time varying correlation at intra regional level showed that European countries exhibit the strong comovement of equity market returns compare to American and Asian equity markets. The inter-regional analyses revealed that developed-developed equity markets have strong comovements than developed emerging and emerging-emerging ones. To capture the asymmetric impact, the time varying regression showed that both the developed and emerging equity markets exhibit positive impact on each other. But the magnitude of impact of developed equity markets on the emerging equity markets was stronger than that of emerging on developed ones, revealing the leading nature of developed markets. The time varying analyses also revealed that comovement of stock market returns increases since the period of Asian financial crises, especially in the start of 21st century. The study also investigated the impact of political risk factors and economic fundamentals on the comovement of stock market returns. Pooled cross-pair time series regression has been estimated across the pairs of developed countries, emerging countries, American, European, Asian countries and for the entire study sample. The results showed that difference political voice and accountability, political stability and absence of violence, government effectiveness, rule of law have significant negative impact while regulatory quality and control of corruption have insignificant impact on the comovement of stock market returns. The results further showed that difference in economic growth, market size, inflation rate and interest rate have significant negative while bilateral trade has positive impact on the comovement of equity market returns. The results of this study have some important practical implications especially in terms predictability, portfolio risk management and asset allocation and measuring economic integration between different economies.
6۔سیاسی سطح پر قوت فیصلہ کی کمی اور عدم دلچسپی حدود و قصاص قوانین کے نفاذ کےعمل میں ایک بڑی رکاوٹ حکومتی سطح پر قوت فیصلہ کی کمی اور عدم دلچسپی ہے ۔ اسلامی قوانین کے نفاذ کا کام جب بھی کیا جائے گا تو اس سے بہت سے لوگوں کے مفادات پر زدپڑے گی ۔ اس کام کو پایہ تکمیل تک پہنچانے کے لیے سیکولر طبقات ، سیاسی مفادات اور ملکی و غیر ملکی دباؤ کی پرواہ نہ کرتے ہوئے حکومت کو جرات مندانہ اقدام اٹھانا پڑیں گے ۔ ضرورت پڑنے پر قوت اور طاقت کا استعمال بھی کرنا پڑے گا ۔ رسو ل اللہ ﷺ نے حکومت اور حاکم کے حوالے سے ارشاد فرمایا "فَالْاِسْلَامُ اُسٌّ وَالسُّلْطَانُ حَارِسٌ وَّمَا لَا اُسَّ لَہُ یھَدِمٌ وَّمَا لَا حَارِسَ لَہ ضَائِعٌ " 501 " پس اسلام کی مثال ایک عمارت کی سی ہے اور حکومت گویا اس کی نگہبان ہے جس عمارت کی بنیاد نہ ہو وہ گرجاتی ہے اور جس کا نگہبان نہ ہو وہ لوٹ لیا جاتا ہے۔" لہذا اسلام کی عمارت قائم رکھنے کے لیے ایک مضبوط بنیاد اور طاقت ور دیانتدار چوکیدار کی ضرورت ہے۔ اب تک یہ ہوتا رہا ہے کہ ایک طبقے نے دباؤ ڈالا تو حکومت نے کوئی چھوٹا سا اسلامی قانون نا فذ کر دیا۔ لیکن جو کچھ ایک ہاتھ سے دیا، وہ دوسرے ہاتھ سے واپس بھی لے لیا ۔ اسلامی قوانین کے نفاذ اور عمل درآمد کے حوالے سے حکومتی لوگوں کے سیریس نہ ہونے کے حوالے سے مولانا زاہد الراشدی رقم طراز ہیں " کہ بحیثیت قوم ہمارے قومی ادارے اور کسی استثنا کے بغیر ہمارے تمام ریاستی ادارے نہ اسلام کے نظام میں سنجیدہ ہیں ، نہ سودی نظام کے خاتمے میں ، اور نہ ہی قومی خود مختاری کے حصول میں۔ انہیں اس سے کوئی دلچسپی...
For the development of the interior Nation tolerance, peace, prosperity, ethical and spiritual development is very necessary. Islam is the religion of peace and safety. There is no scope for oppression and aggression in Islam. In Islam sustainable development is a process in which real income and per capita income of country increase as well as self-esteem, freedom of action and religious activity also increase. People should make best use of country’s means of production to create better conditions than the past. A great harden in society’s development is religious prejudice. Religious tolerance means to treat the follower of other religious without hurting their feeling and without any mistreatment just because of their views. We should not hate other religious and their follower although we do not agree with their philosophies and views. We should accept and fulfil their rights as human beings which God has bestowed with high status. We can understand breadth and depth of tolerance by the saying of Holy Prophet. In twenty-one century Europe ideas of tolerances have different meaning than Islam. This paper provides a literature review on this subject in the light of Holy Quran and Seerah of Holy Prophet.
The basic drive behind this research, is the everyday problems of lawlessness faced by people of Pakistan on roads, in markets and offices and virtually all around them. The behavior of people towards discipline and compliance is distressingly indifferent. The indifference is shared equally by the so-called literates and illiterates. In more civilized societies, law-literacy is interwoven into literacy that makes people aware of the rules of conduct and requires them to own and internalize these rules. Compliance becomes the spontaneous response of these people and a strong culture of lawfulness results. The research, initially, aims at qualitatively determining the reasons why literacy is producing different results in Pakistan as compared with England and Norway. It is observed that in Pakistan, academic literacy is assumed to be meant for careers and not for social and cultural training. The result is that social side of learning remains cosmetic and lacks internalization according to the spirit of norms and law. A weak culture of lawfulness is the outcome. The research further postulates that a weak culture of lawfulness occupies a lower position on the scale of rule of law. On the other hand, global data shows that countries better on the scale of rule of law are better in terms of peace in society. It points out a causal relationship between law literacy, culture of lawfulness, rule of law and peace. To find out relationship between all four factors the research invites quantitative analysis that determines a significant causal relationship among law literacy, culture of lawfulness, rule of law and peace. Presumably, a wellplanned community law literacy program by utilizing all three channels of literacy i.e. formal, non-formal and informal could positively steer culture of lawfulness, rule of law, and peace. By utilizing the findings of this rigorous research comprising qualitative and quantitative analyses, an executable community law literacy model is proposed for Pakistan to enable people to internalize culture of lawfulness wherefrom rule of law and peace would causally sprout. Application of social marketing theory is recommended for short term results and for long term change of mindset, DewyFreirean fused method of teaching is suggested to be utilized to fully implement the proposed model.