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Institutional Development and Stochastic Behaviour of Common Stock Prices in Pakistan

Thesis Info

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Author

Hafeez, Abida

Program

PhD

Institute

University of Karachi

City

Karachi

Province

Sindh

Country

Pakistan

Thesis Completing Year

2019

Thesis Completion Status

Completed

Subject

Economics

Language

English

Link

http://prr.hec.gov.pk/jspui/bitstream/123456789/12594/1/Abida%20Hafeez_UoK.pdf

Added

2021-02-17 19:49:13

Modified

2024-03-24 20:25:49

ARI ID

1676724805781

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This study investigates the impact of institutional development and regulatory policy changes on common stock price behavior in Pakistan during January 2003 to December 2016. The research uses suitable models to empirically analyse the daily stock prices of listed companies to identify and distinguish the stochastic behavior during the period when the stock market was highly regulated and segmented, as compared to the period when regulatory and financial reforms, and legal framework were introduced by the SECP and the SBP after January 2009. After institutional development and financial reforms, risk premia estimated through different asset pricing models, increased significantly during the period of reforms (January 2009 to December 2016) than the period of non-reform (January 2003 to December 2008) in Pakistan. Higher returns were observed particularly during the second sub-period of reforms (January 2013 to December 2016). The time-varying risk premium (GARCH-M) model provided evidence of a significant relation between risk and return during the overall study period and during both the non-reform and reform periods. The volatility in returns increased after regulatory policies and financial reforms. Allowing the risk factor(s) to vary over time to capture the stochastic behavior of stock returns, the findings showed a significant relationship between risk and average return for most of the portfolios. The results indicated that the relative size of reward to risk did not vary much over the period, although it was higher during the reform period as compared to the period of non-reform in most of the cases. The non-synchronous trading effect was evident during both reform and non-reform periods. The degree of persistence in volatility was higher during both the first and second sub-periods of reform than the non-reform period. The stochastic behavior of stock returns was more predictable and persistence during the period of reform than the non-reform period. The risk premia for industry portfolio were higher during the reform period. Most of the industries showed evidence of the theoretical relation of risk and return during the reform period. The volatility in industry return was more pronounced during the period of reform, particularly during the second sub-period of reforms. The impact of nonsynchronous trading and the degree of persistence in volatility were significant during both the non-reform and reform periods. Consistent negative and significant relationship of return and volatility change was observed which indicated leverage effect in industry portfolios. However, the leverage effect causing volatility was better explained during the non-reform period than that of reform period. In conclusion, the institutional development and financial reforms in Pakistan had a significant impact on the stochastic behavior of stock prices. In particular, the volatility in returns and risk premia had been higher and more predictable during the reform period. The findings of this study recommend coherent and sound policy implications for investors, portfolio managers, security analysts, policy makers and financial market regulators. The portfolio managers and investors may consider risk premia and its stochastic behaviour while making investment decisions and predicting return and volatility for trading in the market. The insight of this research is of importance for policy makers who may be weighing the costs and benefits of various liberalization policies towards capital mobility and pricing of risk in Pakistan.
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موضوع 6:فیض احمد فیض کی نظم " ہم دیکھیں گے " کا تنقیدی جا ئزہ
ہم دیکھیں گے لازم ہے کہ ہم بھی دیکھیں گے
وہ دن کہ جس کا وعدہ ہے جو لوحِ ازل میں لکھا ہے
جب ظلم و ستم کے کوہ گراں روئی کی طرح اڑ جائیں گے
ہم محکوموں کے پاؤں تلے یہ دھرتی دھڑدھڑدھڑکے گی
اور اہلِ حکم کے سر اوپر جب بجلی کڑ کڑ کڑکے گی
جب ارضِ خدا کے کعبے سے سب بت اٹھوائے جائیں گے
ہم اہلِ صفا، مردودِ حر مسند پہ بٹھائے جائیں گے
سب تاج اچھالے جائیں گے سب تخت گرائے جائیں گے
بس نام رہے گا اللہ کا جو غائب بھی ہے حاضر بھی
جو منظر بھی ہے ناظر بھی اٹھے گا انا الحق کا نعرہ
جو میں بھی ہوں اور تم بھی ہو اور راج کرے گی خلقِ خدا
جو میں بھی ہوں اور تم بھی ہو
تنقیدی جائزہ
نظم کے عنوان کا پس منظر
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Post Harvest Storage Stability of Kinnow Mandarin Through Applications of Silver Nanoparticles Based Coatings

Influence of carboxy methyl cellulose (CMC) and guar gum based silver nanoparticles containing coatings was studied on the postharvest storage stability of kinnow mandarin (Citrus reticulata cv. Blanco) stored at 4 oC and 10 oC (85-95% relative humidity) for a period of 120 days. Physicochemical qualities, microbiological evaluations, quantities of three major aroma compounds (limonene, linalool, γ-terpinene) and sensory attributes were monitored after every 15 days of storage. Microbiological quality was assessed by monitoring the principal spoilage microbes (yeast and moulds, psychrotrophic bacteria, E. coli, Salmonella and Staphylococcus aureus). Sensory evaluation was carried out using 9 point hedonic scale by a panel of 25 experienced penalists for peel colour, flesh colour, juice colour, fruit texture, fruit taste, fruit flavour and overall acceptability. Overall, the results revealed an increase in peel pitting, total soluble solids (TSS), total sugars, reducing sugars, non-reducing sugars, pH and weight loss in the fruits, but this increase was comparatively less significant in coated fruits stored at 4 oC. Ascorbic acid, total phenolics and antioxidant activity were significantly enhanced in coated fruits stored at 4 oC. Titratable acidity was significantly decreased during storage except for coated kinnow stored at 4 oC. In control samples stored at 10 oC, a high intensity of fruit rotting and no chilling injury was observed. Total aerobic psychrotrophic bacteria, and yeast and moulds were noticed in all treatments during storage, but the growth was not significant in coated fruits at 4 oC. Staphylococcus aureus was not noticed in coated fruits stored at 4 oC, while E. coli and Salmonella were not found in any treatment during storage. Limonene, linalool and γ-terpinene concentrations were significantly reduced during storage in uncoated, and those kinnows coated and stored at 10 oC. However, the storage did not alter the qualitative aroma profile of kinnow. Hedonic scores of sensory evaluation panel appeared to correlate well with the aroma profile and manifested the GC-MS results. Based on the present study, the quality of kinnow fruit can be kept good for 4 months, when stored at 4 oC and for 2 months at 10 oC.