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Optimal Control of Multiple Reservoirs System under Water Scarcity

Thesis Info

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Author

Iftikhar Ahmad

Program

PhD

Institute

University of the Punjab

City

Lahore

Province

Punjab

Country

Pakistan

Thesis Completing Year

2009

Thesis Completion Status

Completed

Subject

Earth sciences

Language

English

Link

http://prr.hec.gov.pk/jspui/handle/123456789/270

Added

2021-02-17 19:49:13

Modified

2024-03-24 20:25:49

ARI ID

1676726812706

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The use of mathematical programming for short term (10-day) operation of Indus River System under uncertainty was investigated. A two stage mix optimization procedure was proposed for the stochastic optimization of the Indus River System. The first stage of the proposed procedure cycles through three main programs, a transition probability matrix (tmp) computation algorithm, a DDP-SDP (Deterministic-Stochastic Dynamic Programming) model and a simulation program. In DDP-SDP program, four model types and three objective types were investigated for multiresevoir system. These non-linear objectives were calibrated for the large scale complex system to minimize the irrigation shortfalls, to maximize the hydropower generation and to optimize the flood storage benefits. Simulation program was used for the validation of each policy derived through this cycle. The accumulation of these programs is called 10 day reservoir operation model of the multireservoir Indus River System. Various model types in SDP/DDP formulation may produce different results in different reservoir conditions and different hydrologic regimes. The model types are therefore system specific. For the Indus Reservoir System best fit SDP model type was identified, alternate multi objective functions were proposed and analysed. Taking one or two objectives and ignoring other or considering all the objectives to optimize, produced different results in different model types. Especially the results were significantly different in terms of storage contents of the reservoir during simulation. The proposed procedure identifies the best stochastic operational policies for the system under uncertainty. The second stage of proposed procedure uses advantages of the stochastic optimal policies derived in the first stage of the optimization with a Network Flow programming (NFP) model developed for the Indus River System for 10 day operation. The whole system was represented by a capacitated network in which nodes are reservoirs, system inflow locations or canal diversion locations. The nodes are connected with the arcs which represent rivers, canal reaches or syphons in the system. The maximum and minimum flow conditions were defined from the physical data. The NFP model was solved with the help of two main programs, the out of kilter algorithm and on line reservoir operation model with stochastic operating policies. The accumulation of these programs is called 10 day stochastic network flow programming (SNFP) model of the multireservoir Indus River System. The proposed SNFP model provides two main benefits. First, the incorporation of the stochastic operating policies at reservoir nodes controls the uncertainty and improves the system operation performance. The stochastic behaviour of the inputs and non-linear objectives in the linear programming model is incorporated in this way. Second, the complete system is under control and presents acomplete physical picture of the system. The results obtained from the above two stage procedure were verified with help of simulating the system with forecasted inflows and comparing these results with actual historic data record. For this purpose, 10 day forecasting models were investigated, calibrated and verified. The results also proved the methodology effective for the test case. The reservoir operation model is characterized as generalised and flexible model, and can be used for any other reservoir. The SNFP model is system (the Indus River System) specific to and needs minor modifications to be used for other water resource systems.ii The proposed optimization procedure presents the optimum operation of reservoirs for irrigation water supplies, hydropower production and flood protection, optimal allocation of water resources in the canal network of Indus River System and identifies the resource limitations at various locations in the system. While comparing with the historic data records, the model performance was found to be better than the historic data at all locations in the system during simulation. The complete model may be used as a guiding tool for the optimum 10 day operation of the Indus River System. A two stage frame work consisting of a steady state SDP 10 day reservoir operation model followed by a Network Flow model appears to be promising for the optimization of Indus River System. The model has also been used for future planning of water resources in Pakistan. The methodology developed provides a viable way of applying stochastic optimization into deterministic optimization procedure under multireservoir, multiobjective water resource system with 10 day operation under uncertainty.
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شیخ محمد اسما عیل

شیخ محمد اسماعیل
دوسرا حادثہ شیخ محمد اسماعیل صاحب صدر مسلم لیگ کی وفات کا ہے، وہ ملک و ملت کے پرانے خدمت گزار تھے، ایک زمانہ میں کانگریسی تھے، پھر مسلم لیگ میں شامل ہوگئے تھے، جنوبی ہند کی سیاست میں ان کو نمایاں مقام حاصل تھا، یہ انہی کی شخصیت تھی کہ ملک کی تقسیم کے بعد جب ہندوستان میں لیگ کی کوئی گنجائش نہیں رہ گئی تھی جنوبی ہند میں اس کو دوبارہ زندہ کیا، پھر ملک کے مختلف حصوں میں اسکو پھیلا دیا، مگر اسکو فرقہ پروری سے اتنا دور رکھا اور ملکی حالات سے اتنا ہم آہنگ کردیا کہ اسکے مخالفین کو بھی گرفت کا موقع نہ مل سکا اور کانگریسی حکومتوں تک کو اس سے معاملت کرنا پڑی، اب ملت کے ایسے بڑی غم گسار مشکل سے پیدا ہوں گے، اﷲ تعالیٰ ان کی مغفرت فرمائے۔
(شاہ معین الدین ندوی، اپریل ۱۹۷۲ء)

EFFECTS OF MILD, MODERATE AND INTENSE PHYSICAL ACTIVITY ON KNEE JOINT PROPRIOCEPTION IN HEALTHY YOUNG ADULTS

Aim: To evaluate the immediate effects of various activity levels on knee joint position sense. Methodology: Sixty males aged between 19 and 24 years, without any complains of discomfort or pain in the knee joint were selected from Bakhtawar Amin Hospital, Multan using convenience sampling, between April 2nd, 2019 to July 28th, 2019. Group A participants walked on the treadmill at a speed of 4 km/h for 5 min (n = 20). Group B participants ran on a treadmill at 6.4 km per hour for five minutes (n = 20). Group C participants sprinted on a treadmill at 8.5 km per hour for five minutes (n = 20). Results: Mean age of the subjects was 21.18±1.77. In the moderate physical activity group, the difference in the means in passive reproduction of the knee flexion angle of 20o observed was 1.40±2.39, (p-value 0.013), and similarly in intense physical activity was 1.75±3.58 (p-value 0.020). For the knee flexion angle of 40o, the difference in the means for moderate was 1.35±1.84 (p=0.002), and for the intense activity was 2.35±2.27 (p=0.012). However, in the group with mild physical activity, the difference in the means was statistically insignificant. Conclusion: The study indicated that physical activities of moderate level and intense level decrease the joint position sense appreciation at the knee joint in less active healthy individuals.

Genetic Diversity of Mineral Contents, Nutritional Traits and High Molecular Glutenin Subunits in Bread Wheat Triticum Aestivum

Plant genetic diversity is a key element in any agriculture. Wheat is an annual plant that belongs to the grass family Poaceae Wheat contains carbohydrates, essential amino acids, vitamins, protein and minerals. Institute of Agri-Biotechnology and Genetic Resources (IABGR), Islamabad is a good source of wheat germplasm collected from all over the country. Rust caused by Puccinia spp. cause considerable worldwide damage to wheat production. There are three types of wheat rust viz, stripe rust, stem rust and leaf rust .For the assessment of genetic variability in germplasm collections biochemical markers, such as storage proteins, have received more attention in recent years. High molecular weight glutenin subunits, encoded by Glu- A 1 , Glu-B 1 , and Glu-D 1 loci located on long arms of the homologous group 1 chromosomes of wheat, play a vital role in determining the bread making quality of wheat. Phenotypic identification based on morphological characteristics has been successfully used for genetic diversity analysis. However, morphological traits have a number of limitations, including low polymorphism, low heritability, late expression and may be controlled by epistatic and pleiotropic gene effects) while protein markers, like seed storage proteins, reflect with more accuracy the genotypes, independently from the environmental effects. Single seed was ground to fine powder with the help of mortar and pestle. Protein extraction buffer (400μl) was added to 0.01g of seed flour in eppendorf tube and mixed. The samples were mixed thoroughly by vortexing and centrifuged at 13,000 rpm for 10 min. Electrophoresis was carried out at 100 mA until a blue line of Bromophenol blue reached the bottom of the gel (approximately three and half hour). Then staining and destaining was carried out. 139 accessions of wheat germplasm were evaluated for nutritional characteristics. The experiment was carried out at Grain Quality Testing Laboratory, National Agricultural Research Centre, Islamabad. Fibre, oil, moisture, ash and protein were studied following the standard methods of AOAC (2005). Determination of Minerals Contents was carried out by dry ashing (Boron), wet digestion(Zinc, Copper, Manganese, Iron, Sodium, Potassium and Phosphorus) and Kjeldahl method (Nitrogen). Seed characteristics studied included seed length (By vernier caliper), seed width (By vernier caliper), 100 seed weight, seed colour, seed size and degree of seed shriveling. For the screening of stem rust, plants were inoculated with 09077. Inoculums in the form of uredial suspension in soltor-170 (eight weightnon-phototoxic mineral oil) was sprayed uniformly with a sprayer having five nozzle. The seedlings were left in open air for 1-2 hours to evaporate mineral oil and shifted afterwards to a humidity chamber for 24 hours, after which they were transferred to green house at 18-22 o C. After ten days infection types were recorded. Summary statistic showed that fibre ranged from 0.64 to 1.87 %, oil from 1.18 to 2.49 %, moisture from 6.00 to 8.50 %, ash from 0.77 to 6.86 %, protein from 7.12 to 16.92 %, Nitrogen from 1.25 to 2.97 %, Phosphorus from 0.10 to 0.44 %, Potassium from 0.30 to 0.88 %, Boron from 0.48 to 3.78 ppm, Zinc from 13.50 to 54. 00 ppm, Copper from 1.00 to 9.00 ppm, Manganese from 7.80 to 41.60 ppm, Iron from 8.20 to 300.0 ppm, Sodium from 0.02 to 0.08 %, seed length from 3.36 to 7.43 mm, seed width from 1.67 to 3.15 and 100 seed weight from 2.20 to 5.36 g. Regarding nutritional traits, PC 1 contributed 23.7% and PC 2 contributed 23.4% to the genetic variance of wheat germplasm constituting 139 accessions belonging to Punjab and Baluchistan. Moisture (0.736) and ash (0.505) contributed more positively to PC 1 while oil (0.717) and protein (0.679) imparted maximum genetic variance to PC 2 . First four principal components contributed 62.3% of the total variation as far as mineral contents are concerned. PC 1 contributed 21.1%, PC 2 15.4%, PC 3 13.8% and PC 4 contributed 11.8% to the total variation shown by the wheat germplasm. Nitrogen (0.571), Phosphorus (0.581), Zinc (0.729) and Copper (0.616) imparted maximum genetic variance to PC1, Potassium (0.718) and Iron (0.643) to PC 2 , Boron (0.532) to PC 3 and Manganese (0.768) and Sodium (0.675) contributed more positively to PC 4 . The seed characteristics that contributed more positively to PC 1 included seed length (0.745) and sized width (0.741). To PC 2 seed size (0.514) contributed more positively while seed width (0.597) and seed color (0.659) imparted maximum genetic variance to PC 3 .Regarding combined traits of Punjab and Baluchistan the characteristics which imparted maximum genetic variance to PC 1 included protein (0.828), Nitrogen (0.831) and Zinc (0.687). Moisture (0.638), Phosphorus (0.611) and Boron (0.656) contributed were positively to PC 3 , Iron (0.533) to PC 4 , Sodium (0.539) to PC 5 , and ash (0.589) contributed more positively to PC 7 .Oil was found to be positively correlated with Zinc whereas moisture showed positive association with Phosphorus and Boron. Protein exhibited positively association with Nitrogen and Zinc. P exhibited positive correlation with Boron and Manganese. Zinc showed positive association with Manganese and Iron. Seed lengthwas observed to be positively associated with seed width, and seed width showed positive correlation with 100 seed weight. Wheat germplasm was subjected to sodium dodecyl sulphate polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis (SDS-PAGE) to predict the genetic variability on the basis of high molecular weight glutenin sub-units. In Punjab accessions three allelic variants (Null, 1 and 2*) were found at Glu-A 1 locus. Glu-B 1 locus was observed to be highly polymorphic. 19 sub-unit or sub-unit pairs were found at Glu-B1 as 16,(14*+9), (9, 17+18), 17+18, 7**+8, 7**, 7**+8*, 7, 7+8, 7(7**), (6, 7), 7*+9, 7*+8, (8, 13+160, 13+16,9, 7+9, 6+9 AND (7*, 7**+8). Glu-D 1 locus consisted of four allelic sub-units or subunit pairs i.e. 12, 2+12, 4, 5+10.At the Glu-A 1 locus, four allelic variants (Null, 1, 2* and 2’) were observed in 122 wheat accessions belonging to Baluchistan region. Glu-B 1 locus was found to be highly polymorphic. 30 sub-unit pairs or sub-units were found at this locus as 7*+8, 7*+8(8**), 7+8, 7+9, 7(7*)+9, 8*, 7+8*, 7+8**, 7**, 7**+9, 7**+8, 7(7**)+9, 13, 7**+8**, 7(7**), 17+18, 8**(17+18), 14+15, (6, 14+15), (7, 14+15), 20, 9, 7*+9, 7(7*)+8, 13+16, (8*, 7+9), 8*(7*+9), (6, 17+18) and 17. Glu-D 1 locus was comprised of nine allelic subunits or sub-unit pairs i.e. 2+12, 3+12, 2+12*, 10, 12*, 12, 5+10, 5+12*, 5+12. In commercial varieties three allelic variants (Null, 2 and 2*) were observed at the Glu-A 1 locus. The Glu-B 1 locus was found to be highly polymorphic. Out of fourteen allelic variants detected, ten sub-unit pairs or subunits were found at this locus as 7+9, 7*+9, 7**+9, 17+18, 13+16, 7+8, &*+8, 7+8(8*), 14 and 7* (13+16). Glu-D 1 locus was comprised of two allelic sub- unit pairs i.e. 5+10 and 2+12. Total of 192 accessions/commercial varieties were screened against stem rust and stripe rust including eighty seven accessions of Baluchistan, 37 accessions of Punjab and 68 commercial varieties. For stem rust resistance was recorded as resistant, moderately resistant and susceptible. Regarding stem rust, 153 accessions/commercial varieties were recorded to be resistant. While 16 accessions/commercial varieties were found to be susceptible. The data regarding resistance against stripe rust was recorded as resistant, moderately resistant, moderately susceptible and susceptible. Nine accessions of Punjab, 21 Baluchistan accessions and 34 commercial varieties were identified to be resistant. None of the accessions or commercial varieties was found to be susceptible.