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Optimal Control of Multiple Reservoirs System under Water Scarcity

Thesis Info

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Author

Iftikhar Ahmad

Program

PhD

Institute

University of the Punjab

City

Lahore

Province

Punjab

Country

Pakistan

Thesis Completing Year

2009

Thesis Completion Status

Completed

Subject

Earth sciences

Language

English

Link

http://prr.hec.gov.pk/jspui/handle/123456789/270

Added

2021-02-17 19:49:13

Modified

2024-03-24 20:25:49

ARI ID

1676726812706

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The use of mathematical programming for short term (10-day) operation of Indus River System under uncertainty was investigated. A two stage mix optimization procedure was proposed for the stochastic optimization of the Indus River System. The first stage of the proposed procedure cycles through three main programs, a transition probability matrix (tmp) computation algorithm, a DDP-SDP (Deterministic-Stochastic Dynamic Programming) model and a simulation program. In DDP-SDP program, four model types and three objective types were investigated for multiresevoir system. These non-linear objectives were calibrated for the large scale complex system to minimize the irrigation shortfalls, to maximize the hydropower generation and to optimize the flood storage benefits. Simulation program was used for the validation of each policy derived through this cycle. The accumulation of these programs is called 10 day reservoir operation model of the multireservoir Indus River System. Various model types in SDP/DDP formulation may produce different results in different reservoir conditions and different hydrologic regimes. The model types are therefore system specific. For the Indus Reservoir System best fit SDP model type was identified, alternate multi objective functions were proposed and analysed. Taking one or two objectives and ignoring other or considering all the objectives to optimize, produced different results in different model types. Especially the results were significantly different in terms of storage contents of the reservoir during simulation. The proposed procedure identifies the best stochastic operational policies for the system under uncertainty. The second stage of proposed procedure uses advantages of the stochastic optimal policies derived in the first stage of the optimization with a Network Flow programming (NFP) model developed for the Indus River System for 10 day operation. The whole system was represented by a capacitated network in which nodes are reservoirs, system inflow locations or canal diversion locations. The nodes are connected with the arcs which represent rivers, canal reaches or syphons in the system. The maximum and minimum flow conditions were defined from the physical data. The NFP model was solved with the help of two main programs, the out of kilter algorithm and on line reservoir operation model with stochastic operating policies. The accumulation of these programs is called 10 day stochastic network flow programming (SNFP) model of the multireservoir Indus River System. The proposed SNFP model provides two main benefits. First, the incorporation of the stochastic operating policies at reservoir nodes controls the uncertainty and improves the system operation performance. The stochastic behaviour of the inputs and non-linear objectives in the linear programming model is incorporated in this way. Second, the complete system is under control and presents acomplete physical picture of the system. The results obtained from the above two stage procedure were verified with help of simulating the system with forecasted inflows and comparing these results with actual historic data record. For this purpose, 10 day forecasting models were investigated, calibrated and verified. The results also proved the methodology effective for the test case. The reservoir operation model is characterized as generalised and flexible model, and can be used for any other reservoir. The SNFP model is system (the Indus River System) specific to and needs minor modifications to be used for other water resource systems.ii The proposed optimization procedure presents the optimum operation of reservoirs for irrigation water supplies, hydropower production and flood protection, optimal allocation of water resources in the canal network of Indus River System and identifies the resource limitations at various locations in the system. While comparing with the historic data records, the model performance was found to be better than the historic data at all locations in the system during simulation. The complete model may be used as a guiding tool for the optimum 10 day operation of the Indus River System. A two stage frame work consisting of a steady state SDP 10 day reservoir operation model followed by a Network Flow model appears to be promising for the optimization of Indus River System. The model has also been used for future planning of water resources in Pakistan. The methodology developed provides a viable way of applying stochastic optimization into deterministic optimization procedure under multireservoir, multiobjective water resource system with 10 day operation under uncertainty.
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غزل

کل کے سکھ تو گروی رکھے, پچھلے بوجھ اتارے

اندر اندر سلگوں لیکن نکلوں زلف سنوارے

 

جانتی ہوں میں تیز ہوا ہے راہ میں رستہ روکے

کون  ہے ,خوشبو کے لہجے میں جا کر اسے پکارے

 

ایسے لگتا ہے میں خود ہی اس پہ جھولنا چاہوں

مجھ کو درد کی سولی سے اب آکے کون اتارے

 

اسی لیے تو نیند کی دیوی سے میں چھپنا چاہوں

روز مری آنکھوں سے کوئی آگ سے خواب گزارے

 

دیکھ دیکھ کے ان کو حوصلہ ملتا تو ہے مجھ کو

میری طرح سے جاگتے ہیں یہ شب بھر چاند ستارے

 

ایک اداسی کے دھاگے میں خود ہی بندھتی جاؤں

میری سوچوں پر یہ کون ہے خوف کے چھینٹے مارے

 

درد کے پیکر میں ڈھل جاتے ہیں معلوم نہیں

میری غزلیں, میری نظمیں, میرے

سماجی زندگی کی اصلاح اسلامی تعلیمات کی روشنی میں

Allah Almighty sent prophets for guidance of human beings and revealed the books on them, who strove for transformation of the society. Islam  declared  that  master  and  salve, king  and  subjects, men  and women, all are  equal  and slaves  of   God. They are equal before the Law. The Holy Prophet (PBUH) said ‘‘All human beings have equal rights’’. The Holy Prophet maintained religious equality. He  did not  talk  ill  of  other  religious  faiths, rather  he  protected  the  rights  and  prosperity  of  non-Muslims  who  lived  in  Islamic  society. The Holy Prophet (PBUH) preached goodness among humans like truth and compassion. He also restricted them from vice like lie, betray, greed, pride, bribery and domestic evils.  For being the last Ummah, the Holy Quran entrusted the Muslims with the mission of calling others to goodness and stopping them from the evil. This Paper attempts the role of Islamic teachings the transformation of the society.

Men As Victims of Violence in Partition Fiction

Partition of United Indiain the year 1947 was a phenomenal even to fideological proportion. More than any thing else,it was also a human tragedy resulting in the loss of millions of lives. As people migrated across the newly carved borders,an un precedented wave of ethnic violence destroyed their hopes offinding newer homes. The enormity of the impact of violence on the collectivesocial consciousness of the subcontinent was so much that a whole body of literature emanated which can betermedas“Partition Literature”.Fictional appropriationoftheincidenceofviolencehasbeenarecurrentmotifinnovelsandshort fiction. By that very fact,literary fiction based on partition,acts as one of the greatest reservoirs of the stories of violent events during partition. One of the great estpre occupation of Partition fiction is its engagement withthefigurationofvariedsituationsandcharactersas comingtotermswiththepsychologicalandideologicalrepercussionsofthegreatdivide. It is notsurprising,therefore,thatthefictional representationoftheviolenceproducedduring partitionsuchasmassmurder,arson,rape,mutilationofbodies,andotherviolentactsacross theborder,arecodifiedbygenderedreadings. However,whenitcomestomeasurethe magnitudeandenormityofloss,womenareconsideredtheworstvictimsoftheevent of partition.Inthisregard,thereadingsofpartitionliteraryfictionviewmenexclusivelyasthe activeexecutorsofviolentactsandwomenonlyasthepassivevictims.Inthisdissertation,I arguethattherepresentationofmenasvictimsofviolenceinPartitionfictionhasbeengiven acursoryandperipheral attention.Correspondingly, thisresearchattemptstoreadmenas victimsofviolenceasdepictedinpartitionfiction. Theintroductorychapterofthisresearchpresentsagenealogyofdifferentparadigms ofindigenousmasculinities. ChapterTwocoverstheemergingtheoreticaldebatesinWestern discourseonmasculinityanditsenrichingvalence forlocal andIndianmythology.Therefore, Icontextualizeadiscursiverangeofpatriarchal,mythical,andreligiousidealsinjectedinto theconsciousnessofmen.InChapterThree,Iarguethatmenbecomevictimsofviolence whentheyfeelboundtoanormativesetofmasculineidealsandpractice.Afailuretosuch performativeassignmentsmayleadtowardsthedisqualificationoftheirgenderedpotentials baggingforthemtitlessuchasunmanlyandemasculated.Theycannotescapethe consequencesofoptingoutpatriarchal idealswhichironicallylimittheirlives.Movingfurther inChapterFour,Ideconstructthemythofmalepowerupheldbythepatriarchal representationsoftheIndiansubcontinent;butinrealitydeflatedwithapersistentcolonial Syedaiii presence. ThecolonialreformulationoftheIndianidealsofmasculinitydis-empoweredthe Indianmen. Ascorollarytocolonial redefinitionofnativemaleinChapterFive,Iarguethat duringpartitionthemalebodyalsobecameasiteforsocio-political politics. Henceforth,in ChapterSix,Iconcludethatmenexperiencedtheemotionalandpsychological agonyand distressastheywere displacedduringthetumultuouseventsof1947. Inthisresearch,Ihaveemployed conceptsfromMasculinityStudiesandPostFeminismfortheoreticalanchorage.ThetextsincludenovelsentitledWhattheBody RemembersbyShaunaSingh,TamasbyBhishamSahni,TraintoPakistan,andDelhiby KhushwantSingh,CrackingIndiabyBapsiSidhwa,TheBrokenMirrorbyKrishnaBaldev Vaid,andSleepwalkersbyJoginderPaul.TheworksoftheMasculinists,R.W.Connell,John Beynon,WarrenFarrell,supportedbyJudithButler’sconceptoffluidgender,re-signification, andbodyasasite,endorsedbyFreudandLacan’sconcept offearofcastration,andfinally reinforcedbythetraumatheoriesbyJudithHerman,CathyCaruth,andNandiBhatia,helpthe analysisofdifferent formsofmalevictimization. Therefore,theresearchconcludesthatpartition(literary) fictionshowstheproblematic representationofmen’svictimizationwhichisseldom readforthefearofunveilingthe historical,political,andtheoreticaldiscoursesstrengtheninggenderstereotyping.Byputting anemphasisupontheshallownessoftheconceptofviolentnormativebehaviorinmenanda customarycodeofpatriarchal life,thisresearchexaminesthewaysinwhichthesemen struggletobeabletofulfilltheexpectationsofthesociety.Furthermore,theenforcedmodeof behaviouremasculatestheiridentityasamalegendertherebymakingthemasliableto violenceasanyothergender; afact alsooftenexternalizedbytheirbodiesturningintositesof violence.