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Temporal Wind Energy Consistency Forecasting for Sindh and its Impacts

Thesis Info

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Author

Qazi, Muzaffar Uddin

Program

PhD

Institute

Federal Urdu University of Arts, Science and Technology

City

Islamabad

Province

Islamabad

Country

Pakistan

Thesis Completing Year

2012

Thesis Completion Status

Completed

Subject

Physics

Language

English

Link

http://prr.hec.gov.pk/jspui/handle/123456789/1017

Added

2021-02-17 19:49:13

Modified

2024-03-24 20:25:49

ARI ID

1676727564129

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The rapidly increasing contribution of wind energy in to electrical energy in the World has demanded the need to design more practical mythologies for estimating the actual benefits of introducing wind turbine to existing power generating system. The contribution of this thesis is to illustrate the Wind Power Impact on economy, society, environment and ecology. The research proposes a stochastic wind power model based on an autoregressive moving average ARMA process. The model takes in to account the non-stationary and physical limits of stochastic power generation model is planed based on wind speed measurement of four year of seven stations of Sindh province from Meteorological Department of Pakistan. The propose ARMA model characterizes the stochastic wind power generation by mean level temporal correlation. Thesis suggests policy recommendation for possible changes to be implemented in existing procedures for the planning and application of power systems so as to turn renewable energy generation into a reality in Pakistan.
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باتیں ’’خواب، خوشبو،آئینے‘‘ کی

باتیں ’’خواب، خوشبو،آئینے‘‘ کی

سماج میں خیالات و جذبات کے اظہار کیلئے بہت سے ذرائع موجود ہیں مگر کئی ذرائع ایسے ہیں جن میں ابلاغ زیادہ موثر نہیں ہے۔جیسا کہ سنگ تراشی اور تصویر کشی ہیں۔کیونکہ ان دونوں ذرائع میں فنکار اور دیکھنے والے کے نقطہ نظر میں بہت زیادہ اختلاف رائے کی گنجائش ہوتی ہے۔ہر کوئی فنکار کی سوچ تک رسائی نہیں رکھتااس لیے سماج میں ان ذرائع کو کم ہی استعمال میں لایا جاتا ہے۔البتہ شاعری ایسا موثر ذریعہ ہے جس میں شاعر اپنا نقطہ نظر بہت کم الفاظ اور وقت میں دوسروں تک پہنچا سکتا ہے اس لیے ہمیں سماج میں چہار سو شاعری کا راج نظر آتا ہے۔اسی ذریعہ سے محترمہ عظمت فردوس اسوہ نے اپنے خیالات کا اظہار کیا ہے اور اپنے خیالات کو ’’خواب خوشبو آئینے‘‘ کا نام دے کر ادب کو امیر بنانے کی کوشش کی ہے۔

اس مجموعہ کلام میں ایک نعت ،مدح مرشد،مدح غالب و جالب،ایک نظم ’’ماں‘‘ قطعات،فردیات اور غزلیات پڑھنے والے کی دلچسپی کا باعث ہیں۔محترمہ اسوہ نے اپنے کلام میں جن موضوعات پر قلم چلائی ہے۔اسکا مختصر جائزہ کچھ اس طرح سے ہے۔

شاعرہ نے شاعری کی روایت سے انحراف کرتے ہوئے اس مجموعہ کلام کو اپنے مرشد کی مدح بیان کرکے شروع کیا ہے۔مگر انہوں نیمدحیہ اشعار پر کوئی موضوع نہیں لکھا۔لکھتی ہیں کہ میرے مرشد نے مجھے سیدھے رستے سے روشناس کیا اور آج میں جو کچھ بھی ہوں اپنے مرشد کی نظر کرم کی بدولت ہوں۔

مجھ کو مرشد نے حق شناس کیا

سیدھے رستے سے روشناس کیا

ان کی نظر کرم ہے بس اسوہؔ

مجھ سی بندی کو اتنا خاص کیا(ص11)

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