The Musharraf Formula (Back Channel Formula) and the Resolution of the Kashmir Conflict

The Musharraf formula refers to the resolution formula of the Kashmir conflict which was reportedly agreed upon during the one-to-one backchannel dialogue between Mr. Tariq Aziz, the former civil servant and close aide of the then President of Pakistan, General Pervez Musharraf and Mr. Satinder Lambah, a special envoy of the Prime Minister of India. We now know some of the details of this formula from the article of the American journalist, Steve Coll which he had published in New Yorker in March 2009 and the book of Mr. Khursheed Mahmud Kasuri, Neither a Hawk, Now a Dove which was published in 2015. Prior to this Mr. Musharraf and Mr. Kasuri had already claimed in their TV interviews and press talks that by March 2007 India and Pakistan were very close to resolving the Kashmir conflict. This paper takes the details of that non-paper agreement and tries to study what exactly that agreement holds for the future resolution of the Kashmir conflict. The basic understanding is whenever the Pakistani and the Indian governments will take up the negotiations on the Kashmir conflict in future, this agreement is bound to come up in the talks as a starting reference point. Therefore, it is necessary to carefully look at this agreement and discuss what it entails for the resolution of the Kashmir conflict.

Arab Spring Genesis and Implications for Global Politics

The so called “Arab Spring “has surprised the world, Middle East rulers and the scholars. The Arab people who were oppressed for decades have revolted against the authoritarian rulers and have overturned a number of longstanding rulers and threatened the existing global order. To know the factors for the genesis, arguing that the Arab Spring is the product of the interplay between internal and external factors i.e. between the changing structure of international politico-military order and domestic economic and cultural influences; the events unfolded many new rivalries and friendships and has divided the world politics into many notorious camps. The self immolation of a Tunisian street vendor Muhammad Bouazizi evoked agitation within the Middle East and beyond. It was a desperate act by a common person lacking political freedom and hope for economic improvement. It sparked a rebellion that brought the multitude to the streets and ignited the flames of regional upheaval. The Arab people displayed courage in the face of the dictators who have instilled fear in them for so long. At the start of the event there were no signs of dramatic change in the Arab leadership. The entrenched political order was about to face a big challenge of its history. The turmoil in the region travelled to every direction spreading like a wind and the events are recorded in history by the name of Arab spring. This elicited some unrealistic expectations for enhanced political participation, economic progress, freedom and liberty. The Tunisian president resigned twenty-eight days after the first protest and fled to Saudi Arabia. A month later Egyptian president fell from power replaced by a military junta that pledged to hold the country’s first ever elections. Libya was the scene of the third successful overthrow. When various NATO backed rebel groups captured Tripoli and then proceeded to hunt down the state’s long term leader Muammar Qaddafi, assassinating him on October 20th, 2011. In Yemen president Ali Abdullah Saleh agreed to resign on November 23rd, 2011, following a long civil war that is continued till date. Despite the successful ouster the old political order is intact as several other popular revolts ultimately failed or are still ongoing. Regional power Saudi Arabia managed in 2011 to subdue a popular Shiites revolt in Bahrain. Syrian president Bashar Al Assad has clung to power as his military expedition against his opponents turned to a civil war and he succeeded in overpowering the rebellions with the help of direct Russian and indirect American military intervention. Protests in Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Lebanon, Algeria, Oman, Morocco and Kuwait all resulted in limited official change. The Arab monarchies seem to have particularly capable of overcoming the revolutionary waves. The dramatic events of the Arab Spring raised several interesting questions about Arab politics. The challenges of modernization and the Islamic affiliation of the Arab people has been a great riddle as the global powers want the region to be a democratic entity while the Islamists are resisting the global dominance. This clash of both the ideologies has resulted in a collision between the two forces and the region is in chaos. This war of ideologies is continued with the dominance of the secularist’s forces under the umbrella of the global powers while Islamists are either in jails or have waged guerrilla war against them. This study not only explores the underpinnings of the Arab Spring, it also looks at the implications of these events for the regional and global politics.