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Development of an Economic Model for Load Dispatch Center to Overcome Energy Crises in Pakistan

Thesis Info

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Author

Akram Ali

Program

PhD

Institute

University of Engineering and Technology

City

Taxila

Province

Punjab

Country

Pakistan

Thesis Completing Year

2018

Thesis Completion Status

Completed

Subject

Load Dispatch Management (LDM)

Language

English

Link

http://prr.hec.gov.pk/jspui/bitstream/123456789/11199/1/Akram%20Ali_Energy%20Mngt_2018_UET%28T%29_PRR.docx

Added

2021-02-17 19:49:13

Modified

2024-03-24 20:25:49

ARI ID

1676724615814

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Operational functions such as to maintain a balance between demands as well as generation happens to be one of the main functions carried out by the latest energy management system.Actually, this is termed as the short-term evaluation of the maximum output of different power generation facilities to meet the required total system load at minimum possible cost without disrupting the regular power supply to the end users. The overloadswould result in the entire system’s instability and increased likelihood of blackouts. The analysis is aimed to give an overview of the economic load dispatch problem regarding abrupt variations in monthly load demand and generation throughout the year. During the research, time series analysis is conducted by using daily data regarding the generation and load demand across the country both for considering with/without losses. Real-time data for power system components of 64 power plants, 496 generating units, 17(500 KV Grid Stations), 35(220 KV Grid Stations), 900(132 KV Grid Stations) and 500/220/132 KV transmission network lines is used. Generation, demand and load management measures acquired from actual daily data associated with demand and supply, power system constraints have also been considered. The aspect of reduction in Hydel generation share during canals closure at water scar season every year has also been taken into account. Daily and monthly data figures of the last 12 years in MW/GWh is analyzed and executed by using time series analysis. Durbin Watson statistics is used to detect auto correlation; also Dickey-Fuller test was performed to check covariance stationarity. Values have been plotted in graphs to understand the monthly/annual variations in total generation and total demand. Research is aimed at improving the quality of power dispatch and deriving workable solutions. Holt-Winters forecasting techniques are applied to analyze both the actual and predicted values of generation, demand and load shed of every month at load dispatch center. It also provides monthly trend of generation, consumer demand and load shed at the same time. The methodology is based on the integrated system modeling. The main purpose is to minimize the total per unit fuel cost without violating system constraints. In case of Pakistan energy scenario, system does not have surplus energy but having short fall. By keeping in mind the current emergent situation and to cope up this problem, national utility system has been analyzed with reference to its operation problems and all the generation is grouped into fuel source wise, and then optimized. Case studies with different fuel sources have also been discussed. All the analyses are executed in MATLAB environment. An overall optimization at the national level shows that there are opportunities to better utilize low cost generators, curtailing usage of higher cost units and increasing electric power trade, considering with and without losses, which would ultimately allow customers to benefit from lower electricity prices. Finally, the thesis recommends managerial actions, structural overhaul in the existing energy system of NTDC, gas allocation to generating plants by using economic criteria, energy sector smart solutions and remedies, to make it sustainable and more versatile to cope up the current and future challenges.
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تعدد ازواج پر الزامات

تعداد ازواج پر الزامات
اعتراض نمبر۱۴۳
۱: فلپ اسکاف کہتا ہے کہ ان کی تعدد الازواج جنسیت پرستی کے سبب تھی اور اولادِ نرینہ کی خواہش میں عمر کے ساتھ ساتھ شدت آتی گئی۔ ( امہات المومنین اور مستشرقین۶۸)
۲: ’’ول ڈیوراینٹ‘‘ اپنی کتاب ’’ دی ایج آف فیتھ ‘‘ میں انتہائی غیر منصفانہ طور پر پیغمبر کو جنس پرست انسان لکھتا ہے۔
۳: نابیہ ایبٹ اپنی کتاب ’’ عائشہ محبوبہ محمدؐ میں آپ کو جنس پرست بیان کیا ہے ( معاذ اللہ) (حوالا بالا)
جواب:مستشرقین وہ تمام سیاسی، اخلاقی،سماجی وجوہات اور اسباب کو آسانی سے فراموش کر دیتے ہیں جن کی بنیاد پرنبی کریمؐ نے تعدد الازواج کی زندگی بسر کی۔یہ انتہائی اہم بات کہ آپؐ سے قبل اس دنیا میں تشریف لانے والے انبیاء کرام تعدد الازواج کی نہ ہی مخالفت کرتے بل کہ اسے اپنا تے ہیں لیکن مستشرقین سابقہ پیغمبروں پر حرف زنی نہیں کرتے کیوں؟ آپؐ ہی کو نشانہ تنقید بناتے ہیں کیوں؟ اس سے غیر جانب دار اور دانش مند شخص بہ خوبی اندازہ کر سکتا ہے کہ یہ لوگ اسلام اور پیغمبر اسلامﷺ سے کتنی نفرت کرتے ہیں۔ کوئی نبی تعدد الازواج کی نفی نہیں کرتا بل کہ وہ کئی خواتین سے شادیاں کرتے ہیں۔حتیٰ کہ مسیح ؑ کے بارہ میں ہے کہ وہ بھی تعدد الازواج کو روا رکھتے ہیں۔یہ لوگ کسی نبی پر جنس پرستی کا الزام نہیں دھرتے لیکن آپؐ کی ذات کو ایسے بے بنیاد الزام لگا کر معاف نہیں کرتے کیوں؟
اعتراض نمبر۱۴۴
۱۔ مستشرقین اسلام کو شہوانی مذہب سمجھتے ہیں ۔
۲۔ویل ڈیورانٹ پیغمبر اسلام (ﷺ) کو جنس پرست لکھتا ہے ( نقل کفر کفر نباشد ) امہات المومنین اور مستشرقین ۔۶۹)
جواب:اسلامی عقائد اتنے مضبوط اور سکون پرور ہیں کہ جہاں بھی ان کو اختیار کیا گیا وہاں صدیاں بیت گئیں...

Legitimacy of Imprisonment as a Punishment in Sharīa

Throughout known human history, incarceration has been a prevailing practice. Regardless of the nature of the crime, imprisonment is now a widespread phenomenon globally. In Pakistan, as in many other states, detention is employed for a wide range of offenses, including instances where Islamic capital punishments are substituted with imprisonment. The adverse impacts of imprisonment are not limited to the individual offender; rather, they extend to the well-being of the offender's family and the broader society. Furthermore, the efficacy of imprisonment is questioned concerning its purported benefits in terms of reformation, retribution, and deterrence, with an examination revealing potential limitations in achieving these objectives. Considering the aforementioned issues, it is important to explore whether it is according to Islamic law or not? After analyzing all causes and aspects of detention given in the Prophetic time and Rashidun caliphate, it is concluded that in those times, imprisonment was just practiced till the decision taken for the criminal and then, one might set free or granted any hadd or ta‘zīr punishment. Subsequently, the individual could either be released or subjected to specific hadd or ta‘zīr punishments. In Shari'ah, permissible punishments include confining the offender to their residence or banishing them from the locality, with the provision for the latter to be accompanied by their family. Crucially, the absence of a concept of prolonged imprisonment within Sharīa’s code of crimes and penalties underscores the contention that imprisonment is perceived not merely as a punitive measure but as a severe crime against humanity.  This raises questions about the effectiveness of Pakistan's criminal justice system, suggesting that a more tailored and nuanced approach, considering individual circumstances, may be more operative. Keywords: Juristic Approach to Imprisonment, Imprisonment in Islam, detention in Islamic law, incarceration.

Role of Board Control on the Firm Performance

This study examines the influence of board control on the firm performance. The board structure, board power, board communication, board meetings are the predictors of a firm performance. The objective is to investigate either there exist an association between the firm performance and the selected predictors. For measuring the performance, sales of the textile firms have been used and 250 textile firms of Faisalabad are used as sample and for collecting the data convenient sampling method have been used. For collecting the data five point Likert scale questionnaire is used and descriptive statistics in which mean and standard deviation is calculated on the response data. Pearson correlation and simple linear Regression and multiple linear regression methods have been applied to test the hypothesis. The purpose of the first research hypothesis is to explore whether any significant relationship between the board structure and firm performance is found or not. The simple linear regression has been used in which significant result and positive coefficient indicates that positive association between the board structure and the firm performance is observed. Further to check the association between the board power and firm performance simple linear regression is used which also indicates significant result. Simple linear regression and significant relationship between the board communication and firm performance is confirmed. The simple linear regression results indicate that there is significant association between the board meeting and firm performace.The last research hypothesis has significant relationship between the firm performance and board structure, board power, board communication and board meeting. The multiple linear regression model is used and the assumption of multiple regression has also diagnosed the linearity and normality of the data and found that data is following the assumption of multiple linear regression. It is concluded that well defined board structure and authorized and responsible board of directors that used their power for the long term decision and keep an eye on the management increase performance of the firm. The strong communication system among different levels of management and the board of directors and the increase in the frequency of board meetings boost the performance of the firm.