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Home > Oil Discovery in Uganda and its Impacts on Poverty and Inequality: A Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis

Oil Discovery in Uganda and its Impacts on Poverty and Inequality: A Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis

Thesis Info

Access Option

External Link

Author

Twaha, Koire

Program

PhD

Institute

International Islamic University

City

Islamabad

Province

Islamabad.

Country

Pakistan

Thesis Completing Year

2019

Thesis Completion Status

Completed

Subject

Economics

Language

English

Link

http://prr.hec.gov.pk/jspui/bitstream/123456789/13356/1/Koire%20Twaha%20economics%202019%20iiui%20isb%20prr.pdf

Added

2021-02-17 19:49:13

Modified

2024-03-24 20:25:49

ARI ID

1676724888439

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Discovery of natural resources like oil in developing countries has mixed impacts on the economy. At best, it is positive, at worst negative and in the middle, insignificant or none at all. Such mix up in the impacts has been explained empirically in terms of technical challenges in fiscal, monetary and other decisions. Utilizing a Computable General Equilibrium model and the Uganda Social Accounting Matrix 2007, this study attempts to establish the possible impact of the country’s oil on households. Three simulations are performed on production, absorption and export of oil. Thereafter, the results are analyzed using Distributive Analysis Statistical Package (DASP) software to establish their effects on households’ poverty, inequality and welfare. Generally, the simulations show that the discovery reduces both poverty and inequality. Specifically, in comparison to the baseline simulation, oil production, absorption and exports reduces absolute poverty, poverty gaps and severity. Further, the simulation results show that production, absorption and export reduce the Gini coefficient, implying a reduction in inequality. Other measures of inequality, notably Thiel L, T and S produce similar results and conclusions across simulations like that of the first measure. In the context of welfare, we note that the Hoover Index, and other welfare measures such as HI, TL and TT show significant changes. These measures show an improvement in households’ welfare for production, absorption and exports. The equivalent variation of individual households shows a positive effect on welfare except the urban farm households. By and large, the findings confirm the spillover effects of oil on all sectors of the economy with the exception of manufacturing and services. Further, we observe a positive impact of all the simulations on GDP, calculated by expenditures approach, exports, imports and private consumption; whereas a negative effect is noted for GDP, calculated by income and output approach, investment, government surplus and balance of payment position. This study recommends the managers of the economy to pay special attention to inject a reasonable portion of oil rent in those sectors which positively contribute to the economy, diversify the non-oil exports and above all boost private consumption.
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کیفی ؔاعظمی

کیفیؔ اعظمی
مشہور و مقبول ترقی پسند اور اردو کے انقلابی شاعر جناب کیفی اعظمی ۱۰؍ مئی کو صبح ساڑھے چھ بجے ممبئی کے جس لوک اسپتال میں انتقال کرگئے جہاں سانس کی تکلیف کی وجہ سے دو ماہ پہلے داخل ہوئے تھے، ۱۱؍ مئی کو اندھیری ویسٹ کے چار بنگلہ قبرستان میں سپرد خاک کئے گئے۔
کیفی صاحب ۱۹۱۸؁ء میں اعظم گڑھ کی تحصیل پھول پور کے ایک گاؤں مجواں کے زمین دار شیعہ گھرانے میں پیدا ہوئے، ان کے والد جناب سید فتح حسین رضوی اودھ کی ریاست بلہرا میں تحصیل دار تھے۔ کیفی صاحب کا اصلی نام سید اطہر حسین رضوی تھا، یہ سات بھائی بہن تھے، بڑے بھائیوں نے انگریزی تعلیم حاصل کی تھی، ان کو ان کے والد بزرگوار نے عربی تعلیم دلانے کے لیے فرقہ شیعہ کی مشہور درس گاہ سلطان المدارس لکھنو میں داخل کرایا مگر ان کا جی یہاں نہیں لگا، غالباً مدرسے کی سخت گیری اور مذہبی شدت پسندی سے گھبرا کر انہوں نے تعلیم ہی نہیں چھوڑی بلکہ مذہب سے بھی برگشتہ ہوگئے، اور غالباً آخر تک رہے، تاہم مدرسہ کی تعلیم کو خیر باد کہنے کے باوجود انہوں نے لکھنو اور الٰہ آباد کی یونیورسٹیوں سے مشرقی امتحانات دیئے اور اپنی ذاتی محنت و مطالعہ سے اپنی استعداد بڑھائی، اردو فارسی کے علاوہ غالباً وہ عربی، ہندی اور سنسکرت سے بھی واقف تھے۔
کیفی اعظمی کا طرۂ امتیاز ان کی شاعری ہے جس کو اس کے مخصوص لب و لہجہ ، باغیانہ تیور اور انقلابی افکار و خیالات کی بنا پر بہت پسند کیا گیا، ان کے گھر میں پہلے ہی سے شعر و سخن کا چرچا تھا، اردو ہی نہیں فارسی کا ذوق بھی عام تھا، ان کے تینوں بڑے بھائی بھی شاعری کا مذاق رکھتے تھے اور صاحب بیاض تھے، خاندانی کتب خانے...

تربية الشباب عند العلماء والمفكرين الإمام محمد البشير الإبراهيمي نموذجا

The nation's youth are the source of its strength, and the makers of glory, they are men of the future, and to them belongs the leadership of the nation in all its affairs, because youth time is the stage at which human enjoys the full strength, of mind and heart. Young people are contributing an active role in shaping the present and foreseeing future prospects. Care and upbringing of young people, reformation through of reform of the educational curriculum in line with current developments and requirements, with emphasis on the fundamentals of the Islamic nation, and not merging with others is very importants. That’s why reformers are interested in youth, directing and upbringing them with sound education, correcting their distractions and the protection of their morals, in the development of sense of responsibility in serving their communities, and this is the most important duties of scientists and thinkers, the first defense of the nation Fort is beliefs and religion. Therefore, it is incumbent upon us in this day and era to be aware of our intellectuals, spreading their virtues and perpetuate the memory of them. To highlight this issue the researchwr has choosen Skaykh Muhammad Ibrāhīmī a reknown scientist and scholar of Algeria by highlighting his efforts in the field. This research paper is about the importance of youth in the advancement of society, and the negative impact of external factors on them; define responsibilities for deviating, and ways to reform, and the means to achieve it, through the efforts of Shaykh Al Ibrāhīmī, and his vision to reform and train youth keeping in view all the causes and factors involved in the proper training of youth.

Pharmacovigilance and Patients’ Awareness Studies Towards Antihypertensive Therapy in Hospitals of Hyderabad, Sindh, Pakistan

Pharmacovigilance is well defined by an internationally accepted health organization i.e. WHO, it is a study about finding, evaluation, understanding and avoidance of adverse effects or any other possible drug-related problems. The study of Adverse drug reactions (ADRs) have a major role in regulatory processes of each medicine and ultimately impact on patients lives. Moreover it is an integral part between the patient and health care for better management of disease. Hypertension is one among the several chronic illnesses which is now the principal foundation of cardiovascular diseases worldwide. However, if remains uncontrolled, it can lead to various life threatening complications. The objectives of the study are to evaluate the prescribing trend of antihypertensive therapy among all three hospitals of Hyderabad, to assess the occurrence of ADRs due to antihypertensive drugs in Hyderabad city, to identify the most common adverse drug reactions of different classes of antihypertensive drugs, to assess the knowledge/awareness of patients regarding hypertension and appropriate use of antihypertensive drugs, to compare the ADRs between the hospitals of Hyderabad, to compare the Patient awareness between the hospitals of Hyderabad and to assess the perception of health care professionals regarding Pharmacovigilance. A descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted to evaluate the ADRs associated with antihypertensive therapy and patient’s awareness by collecting the patient’s feedback and health care professionals feedback via purposive and random sampling respectively from medicine and cardiac outpatient departments (OPD) of three major hospitals of Hyderabad, Sindh on predesigned questionnaire based on WHO monitoring guidelines for a period of three years and then data has been evaluated. Out of 3000 patients, maximum numbers of patients were enrolled from GTCH and the percentage was 42.37%. Majority of the patients were belonged to male gender with 57.33%. Further it was also observed that most of the patients were from urban areas with 79.77%. There were two out-patient departments (OPD) from where the patients enrolled i.e. medical as well as cardiac, 64.07% of the patients were reported from cardiac OPD and 35.93% from medical OPD. 30.63% of the patients were aged between 49 to 58 years i.e. maximum. About family history, 20.97% of the patients had positive history as 1 parent, 10.07% of the patients had two parents history while 55.23% of the patients had no any history of hypertension. The maximum number of patients was on combinations therapy i.e. 64.6% as compared to monotherapy patients i.e. 35.4%. Among combinations therapy the dual therapy was most commonly prescribed and the percentage was 65.02% as compared to triple (21.41%) and quadruple therapy (13.57%). In Government tertiary care hospital the most common prescribed antihypertensive drug as monotherapy was Atenolol and the percentage was 16.33%. In Private tertiary care hospital the most common prescribed antihypertensive drug as monotherapy was Telmisartan and the percentage was 15.84%. In Government secondary care hospital the most common prescribed antihypertensive drug as monotherapy was Atenolol and the percentage was 12.24%. In Government tertiary care hospital the most common prescribed antihypertensive drug as dual therapy was Telmisartan + hydrochlorothiazide and the percentage was 14.76%. In Private tertiary care hospital the most common prescribed antihypertensive drug as dual therapy was Valsartan+Amlodipine and the percentage was 13.21%. In Government secondary care hospital the most common prescribed antihypertensive drug as dual therapy was Lisinopril+hydrochlorothiazide and the percentage was 10.66%. In Government tertiary care hospital the most common prescribed antihypertensive drug as triple therapy was Atenolol + Chlorthalidone + Telmisartan and the percentage was 15.30%. In Private tertiary care hospital the most common prescribed antihypertensive drug as triple therapy was Enalapril + hydrochlorothiazide+Atenolol and the percentage was 21.48%. In Government secondary care hospital the most common prescribed antihypertensive drug as triple therapy was Valsartan+ hydrochlorothiazide+Amlodipine and the percentage was 18.56%. In Government tertiary care hospital the most common prescribed antihypertensive drug as quadruple therapy was Atenolol + Chlorthalidone + Telmisartan+αMD and the percentage was 26.44%.In Private tertiary care hospital the most common prescribed antihypertensive drug as quadruple therapy was Valsartan + Amlodipine+Atenolol+Chlorthalidone and the percentage was 35.29%. In Government secondary care hospital the most common prescribed antihypertensive drug as quadruple therapy was Amlodipine+Telmisartan+ Enalapril + hydrochlorothiazide and the percentage was 25.93%.