Search or add a thesis

Advanced Search (Beta)
Home > Yield Forecasting of Maize for Different Agronomic Practices under Climate Change and Variability Using Simulations and Remote Sensing

Yield Forecasting of Maize for Different Agronomic Practices under Climate Change and Variability Using Simulations and Remote Sensing

Thesis Info

Access Option

External Link

Author

Ishfaq Ahmad

Program

PhD

Institute

University of Agriculture

City

Faisalabad

Province

Punjab

Country

Pakistan

Thesis Completing Year

2018

Thesis Completion Status

Completed

Subject

Agricultural Technology

Language

English

Link

http://prr.hec.gov.pk/jspui/bitstream/123456789/12810/1/Ishfaq%20Ahmad%20%282008-ag-2316%29_Agronomy_2018_UAF_PRR.docx

Added

2021-02-17 19:49:13

Modified

2024-03-24 20:25:49

ARI ID

1676727677739

Asian Research Index Whatsapp Chanel
Asian Research Index Whatsapp Chanel

Join our Whatsapp Channel to get regular updates.

Similar


Yield forecasting is becoming increasingly important in the context of climate variability and change using approaches like remote sensing and crop modeling. Climate variability and change are affecting crops and efficiency of input resources. The situation is demanding efficient management of input resources. Changing climate is also affecting current production technology which needs modification using modern tools. Two field experiments were conducted at Water Management Research Center, University of Agriculture Faisalabad, Pakistan. Field experiments addressed above mentioned issues. The first experiment included full (100%) and three reduced levels (80%, 60% and 40%) of irrigation with four levels of nitrogen (160, 200, 240 and 280 kg ha-1) at different critical growth stages of maize. Second experiment involved four sowing dates (i.e.27 January, 16 February 8 March and 28 March) and three maize hybrids (i.e. P-1543, DK6103 and NK8711) during the years 2015 and 2016. Different system approaches were used to optimize the volume of irrigation, amount of nitrogen (N) and sowing date for maize hybrids. CERES-Maize model was calibrated and evaluated with second experiment. Calibrated model was used to explore the effects of climate variability and climate change (CC) at regional scale. Different adaption strategies were developed to mitigate the negative effects of climate change. Remote sensing framework was used for regional yield forecasting that can assess seasonal and interannual variability. In first experiment results from model and economic analysis showed that the N rates of 235, 229, 233, and 210 kg ha-1 were the most economical optimum N rates to achieve the economic yield of 9321, 8937, 5748 and 3493 kg ha-1 at 100%, 80%, 60% and 40% irrigation levels, respectively. The optimum level of irrigation was 250 mm. The results of second experiment revealed that grain yield was continuously decrease with delay in Planting date, among maize hybrids Poineer-1543 performed best in spring season. Model parametrization results showed a reasonably good result in prediction of biological and grain yield with RMSE values of 963 kg ha-1 and 451 kg ha-1. Different GCMs were used for understanding the CC impacts, which indicated that there would be increase of 3.4°C in maximum and 3.8°C in minimum temperature in hotdry GCM. The reduction in maize yield due to rise in temperature will be 27% under mid-century (2040-2069). Different adaptations options could be used with RAPs then maize yield would be increased by 15%.Landcover classification of maize were done by Machine Learning algorithms which estimate 14% less area reported by Reporting Service (CRS) of Punjab Pakistan for 2015 and 2016. For yield forecasting, seasonal multitemporal, a total of 8 LST and NDVI values for 64 farms were taken to develop model. Model was used to predict the yield of previous 10 year (2007-2016) which showed a high accuracy with mean % error of 1.25. Seasonal mean Tmax and Tmin of 10 years with predicted yield showed a negative relationship with Tmax. (R2= 0.76) and Tmin. (R2= 0.69). It can be concluded from the study that modern tools are very helpful to optimize input resources to ensure food security.
Loading...
Loading...

Similar Books

Loading...

Similar Chapters

Loading...

Similar News

Loading...

Similar Articles

Loading...

Similar Article Headings

Loading...

وجہ تالیف

وجہ تالیف
انسان ہر میدان میں روج کا خواہاں دکھائی دیتا ہے ۔زوال نام سے خائف ہے ، معاشی، معاشرتی ، سیاسی یا روحانی میدان ہو خواہش اُ س کی یہی ہوتی ہے کہ ان سب پر اُسی کا قبضہ ہو اور دیگر حضرات اِن میادین میں اُس کی دریوزہ گری کریں ، تحریر ہو، تقریر ہو، خطابت ہو، کتابت ہو،سب میدان اپنے نام کرنا چاہتا ہے ۔ لیکن یہ قانون قدرت ہے کہ ملتا وہی ہے جس کے لیے لیس للانسان الا ماسعٰیکے مصداق وہ جہدِ مسلسل کرتاہے۔ انسانی شخصیت میں جو شعبے نکھار پیدا کرتے ہیں وہ خطابت اور تحریر ہیں ، مقالات و خطابت میں ، انسان اپنا مافی الضمیر یا تواپنی زبان کی حرکت سے بیان کرتا ہے اوریا پھر قلم کو اذنِ خرام دے کر قرطاس ابیض پر کچھ رقم کر کے تخیلات و تصورات کو منصۂ شہود پر لا کر کرتا ہے ۔ ایّام زیست و حیات کے طائر خوش الحان کو محو پرواز رکھنے کے لیے تحریر و تقریر کی فضائے خوشگوار کی اشد ضرورت ہے ۔ اسی فضاء میں زندگی کی گاڑی بطریق احسن اپنی منزل کی طرف رواں دواں ہو سکتی ہے ۔ ان حقائق کو مدِ نظر رکھتے ہوئے عوام النّاس کے لیے بالعموم اور طلباء کے لیے بالخصوص چند عنوانات پر مشتمل مضامین کا انتخاب کیا ہے جو طلباء میں فصاحت و بلاغت کے ساتھ ساتھ اُن کی معاشرتی زندگی میں بھی ممدو معاون ثابت ہوں گے۔ نیز ان کے لیے تحریر و تقریر کے میدان میں مہمیز ثابت ہوں ۔ یہ چنگاری کافی عرصے سے اس وجودِ خاکی میں سلگ رہی تھی کہ کوئی تو ذریعہ ایسا سامنے آئے جس سے نونہالانِ وطن کے دماغ کے دریچوں کو جنبش دی جا سکے اور اُن کی تخلیقی صلاحیتوں کو اُجا گر کیا جا سکے ۔ اِس...

بیسویں صدی كے مكالمات بین المذاہب كا تنقیدی جائزہ

Dialogue is a medium of human understanding. Through dialogue one can express himself clearly. In the modern times human civilization is globally facing so many challenges. In this situation inter-faith dialogue can bring peace in the world. Because it is dialogue which help men understand each other and bring them close to each other. But in the contemporary period inter-faith dialogues have almost failed to achieve the noble targets. This article seeks to disclose why inter-faith dialogues have so far proved meaningless.

Distribution, Genetic and Biochemical Characterization of Wild and Cultivated Olive in Azad Jammu and Kashmir

The floristic composition within 25 stands was recorded from 390 m to 2158 m on gentle slopes of Azad Jammu and Kashmir. There were 87 plants species of 39 families; Poaceae, Astraceae and Papilionaceae were important families in the investigated area. Four plant associations, Olea-Berberis-Punica, Olea-Olea-Dodonaea, Olea-Olea Zanthoxylum and Olea-Ficus-Ricinus were recorded by cluster analysis and Detrendent correspondence analysis (DCA) technique. The dense Olea forests were found within the range of 390-1500 m, considered as potential sites, whereas the sparse populations were found beyond the range of 1500 m. This area has suitable climatic conditions to support cultivation of olive in Azad Jammu and Kashmir. Wild (O. cuspidata) and cultivated olive (O. europaea) grow in northern regions of Pakistan and Azad Jammu and Kashmir are expected to have considerable inter and intra-species genetic variability due to adaptation to the various environmental conditions. In present study the genetic relationship was investigated in wild and cultivated olive populations growing in Azad Jammu and Kashmir by using four primer combinations during amplified fragment length polymorphism (AFLP) analysis. Genetic relationships were displayed in a dendrogram based on Unweighted Pair Group Method (UPGMA) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA). Four clusters were clearly separating wild and cultivated olive populations from each other indicates that the Olea cuspidata (wild) and Olea europaea (cultivated) were divergent. The insightful difference between wild and cultivated populations and the close relationship among Olea europaea accessions had confirmed that the cultivated olive did not develop locally but were introduced from abroad, propagated by grafting on local wild olive. Moreover, analysis of cultivated olive showed that they are probably from same population with common ancestory. In the actual application, the measurement of genetic variation among these populations is needed to guide the on-going grafting of Olea europaea while ensuring that a substantial genetic diversity is preserved within the study area. For the Olea europaea nursery industry, this study can be useful to eliminate duplication of the clones and ensure diversity of the propagated clones for grafting on Olea cuspidata.